Key Message Update

High prices and the sociopolitical context impacts food security, despite a promising fall harvest

September 2020

September 2020

October 2020 - January 2021

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Unlike the spring season, rainfall conditions have improved since mid-August with above average precipitation observed. The passage of Hurricane Laura helped to maintain the soil sufficiently moist to promote the summer agricultural campaign, however, caused damage in the Southeast. This bodes well for good harvests, albeit below average, which would help improve the availability of certain local products, especially rice.

  • The sociopolitical context is deteriorating following the events of the past few weeks (assassinations, armed clashes, socio-political demonstrations), which has led to the closure of certain businesses and road blockages in Port aux Prince. In addition, an intensification of such events is anticipated in response to the formation of the Provisional Electoral Council. This could further deteriorate the conditions of food availability and access, given the impact on market supply and prices.

  • Meanwhile, from August 10 to September 25, the gourde rose from $ 0.00825287 to $ 0.01417396, an appreciation of nearly 72 percent. However, a proportional drop in food prices was not reported. At the same time, the 54,000 jobs in the textile sector are threatened by loss of competitiveness due to the sharp appreciation of the gourde against the dollar. A reduction in the number of employees is therefore likely, the daily salary being fixed.

  • With livelihoods still disrupted, poor and very poor households will continue to adopt crisis or stress strategies to maintain their current level of food consumption. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Stress (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity is therefore continuing in most regions.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics