Key Message Update

Harvesting period and increased demand for labor do not significantly improve food security

September 2020

September 2020

Honduras y El Salvador están en fase 3 y Nicaragua está en fase 2

October 2020 - January 2021

Honduras y El Salvador están en fase 3 y Nicaragua está en fase 2

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Honduras and El Salvador are progressing towards economic reopening, slowly increasing the workforce in some sectors, opening borders and greater citizen mobility. However, there are still some who have not restarted operations, and those who have, have yet to recover economically to see significant changes in employment and income. The voluntary quarantine of the Nicaraguan population has also fluctuated depending on the need for income and the uncertainty in the health situation in the country.

  • Remittances in recovery since April, seasonally lower food prices, open markets and supplied by crops with positive yields have implied a slight improvement in the food access of urban and rural households. But the mobility restrictions that still persist, biosafety protocols and a greater supply of labor could make it difficult to generate wage income for the poorest rural households during the peak season, which begins in October.

  • An above-average rainfall forecast, due to La Niña ENSO conditions, presents favorable conditions for a Postrera cycle with average or higher yield, as long as the necessary measures are taken to avoid fungal diseases in beans. With this, the prices of maize and red beans are expected to decrease even more, although they will continue to be above average. Producing households will also see an improvement in their food availability.

  • The partial economic reopening and greater availability of food and income will keep most rural and urban households in Stress (IPC Phase 2). The poorest urban households, which depend on the informal economy, and the rural ones in the Honduran dry corridor and the Salvadoran coffee area will continue in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), due to the deterioration of their livelihoods due to past and current shocks . Upcoming food assistance delivery is uncertain.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics