Key Message Update

Food insecurity deteriorates as governmental aid programs are delayed

July 2020

July - September 2020

Gran parte del país está en fase 1! y el corredor seco y otras partes se encuentran en fase 2! gracias a la asistencia humanitaria

October 2020 - January 2021

La mayoría del país está en fase 2 y el corredor seco en fase 3

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Food assistance is likely to continue to improve access to food for a majority of households therefore classified in food security (Phase 1! CIF) until September; Households who had been experiencing food insecurity prior to the appearance of COVID-19, particularly those located in the dry corridor, are in Stress (Phase 2 !, CIF). In October when the most important assistance will end, households expected to transition into Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) food insecurity.

  • Despite the recovery of remittances and interdepartmental mobility in some regions, the loss of income and the use of negative coping strategies remain for a many households. Government response programs are making difficult progress, undergoing adjustments as they develop. As of July 21, 1,678,404 households have received the first transfer of the Bono Familia.

  • Although the new projection of the Government indicates that the peak of the contagion by COVID-19 would be reached in October, at the end of July the new “traffic light” strategy will be implemented to regulate the economic reopening and mobility by municipality. The maximum alert in red marks the total restriction of public transport, shopping centers and activities involving large crowds. To date, departments such as Guatemala, Sacatepéquez, Escuintla and Quetzaltenango, where the largest industrial and commercial activity in the country is concentrated, are classified in red, hindering income generation.

  • Cases of acute malnutrition identified by the Ministry of Health typically increase uring the lean season. As of June, 17,195 accumulated cases were reported, doubling what was reported for the same period in 2019. The Ministry warns that there is an overestimation caused by a methodological adjustment, which is currently being reviewed. However, the restrictions have impaired regular visits to health services, which would imply less identification of cases of malnutrition. In July, the Government has initiated the active search for cases.

  • In July, the International Regional Organization for Agricultural and Animal Health (OIRSA) warned about the outbreak of the Central American locust in the region. In Guatemala, the presence of the pest was reported in targeted areas, especially in Petén, for which the Ministry of Agriculture carried out the monitoring and control, indicating that at the moment there are no major damages. The timely and continuity of the response are expected to keep the insect from becoming a threat to food security.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics