Key Message Update

Food security improves with income from cane and coffee harvest

November 2019

November 2019 - January 2020

Parte del corredor seco se encuentra en fases 2 y 3, el resto del país en fase 1.

February - May 2020

Parte del corredor seco se encuentra en fases 2 y 3, el resto del país en fase 1.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC v3.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • The main agricultural sectors that generate casual labor have started the 2019/2020 harvest. Those who are engaged in cane harvest have moved to the Southern Coast, which is the main sugar production zone. While the poorest households have moved to the middle and lower areas of the country, as well as to Honduras and southern Mexico, where coffee harvest has already begun.

  • The prices of basic grains continue their expected decline, in response to the supply of fresh produce from the Primera harvest that began to flow in September. The price of white maize remains slightly above average, but will remain stable in the following months as Postrera production reaches the markets.

  • Most of the poorest households in the dry corridor that were facing Crisis (Phase 3, CIF) food insecurity will be able to improve access to food that will allow them to improve their situation and classify in Stress (Phase 2, CIF) until January. However, from February their situation will deteriorate rapidly, for some households the lean season will started early and they will fall into a Crisis situation (Phase 3, CIF) until May.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, and USGS, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

USAID logoUSGS logoUSDA logo
NASA logoNOAA logoKimetrica logoChemonics logo