Yemen

• In Yemen, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are expected through May. The long-term impacts of conflict continue to limit income-generating opportunities, the economic crisis continues to result in very high food prices, and households are unable to consistently purchase adequate food and other essential needs. While seasonal food and income is expected to alleviate the severity of acute food insecurity from November to May, over one-in-three people are still expected to experience food consumption gaps.
• In areas controlled by the Sana’a-based authority (SBA), Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are anticipated in Hajjah, Al-Hudaydah, and Ta’izz governorates. These areas have been worst affected by the destruction of port infrastructure and disruptions to trade linked to the conflict between SBA forces and Israel, as well as recent floods. These conditions have exacerbated weak labor demand, reduced key sources of household income, and damaged cereal and cash crops. Poor households face large food consumption deficits.
• In internationally recognized government (IRG)-controlled areas, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to be widespread. The IRG implemented robust economic measures in August 2025 that allowed the Aden-based YER to rapidly appreciate, alleviating staple food prices. However, hard currency shortages and a lack of public revenue have led to persistent delays in civil servant salaries, and the cost of living remains very high overall. Failures in public services, such as electricity, also limit income-generating activity.
• Food assistance needs are estimated at 15.0-15.99 million people (40-45 percent of the population) in October. A relative decline in needs is expected from November to May, supported by the main cereal and cash crop harvests and seasonal income from higher livestock sales and gifts/zakat during Ramadan and Eid al-Adha. However, up to 13.0-13.99 million people (35-40 percent) are expected to need food assistance during this period.
• Humanitarian food assistance delivery is low compared to past years. In SBA-controlled areas, no humanitarian food assistance is expected due to WFP's suspension of operations and the SBA's foreign terrorist organization (FTO) designation. In IRG-controlled areas, food assistance is expected to reach 3.4 million people or less. 

The analysis in this report is based on information available as of October 17, 2025.