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- Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes (currently prevalent in the central highlands and northeastern and western parts of Afghanistan)are likely to continue through at least January 2025. However, food consumption is expected to improve temporarily for some households in the central highlands, driven by improvements in food and income from the September to October wheat and potato harvests. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are also anticipated to persist in urban centers through January, driven by limited labor opportunities which are compounded by macroeconomic challenges. Household food stocks are expected to deplete atypically early from October onward in the west, north, and northeast amid below-average 2024 harvests. Households in other areas of the country are experiencing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes with increased food and income from harvests. However, flooding in eastern, central, and northeastern regions has displaced households and destroyed food stocks, eroding access to food and income amid widening food consumption gaps.
- Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are anticipated through January in southern Lebanon among displaced households amid the ongoing conflict between the Israeli Defense Force and Hezbollah. Approximately 112,000 people were displaced by the end of August; the majority remaining are located in the southern region where livelihoods were severely disrupted, limiting access to food and income. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are also expected to continue through January in the east and northeast, where poor households and refugees are competing for limited income-earning opportunities, facing large food consumption gaps, and resorting to adverse coping strategies (including reduced food consumption for adults to feed children). Widespread Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are likely to persist in Beirut and Mt. Lebanon through January, impacted by a decline in the tourism and construction sectors amid the ongoing conflict in southern Lebanon.
- Widespread Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse outcomes are likely to continue in Yemen through January. Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are likely in Sana’a Based Authority (SBA) areas, driven by the pause in humanitarian assistance since December 2023. Poor households in SBA-controlled areas also experienced significant food consumption gaps compounded by poor economic conditions and devastating floods that disrupted agricultural production and constrained labor income in August. In internationally-recognized government (IRG) areas, an increase in ration sizes amid a 30 percent reduction in households receiving humanitarian assistance is likely to drive Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes for targeted households. However, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) area-level outcomes are likely through January amid impacts of poor economic conditions, constrained income-earning opportunities, and a reduction in the number of households receiving assistance.
- While Gaza is not a regularly monitored FEWS NET country and therefore not typically included in regional summaries, FEWS NET’s targeted analyses on Gaza can be accessed here. To prevent widespread loss of life, an immediate cessation of hostilities is required, alongside a large-scale, multisectoral response with unrestricted access to populations in need.
Recommended citation: FEWS NET. Middle East and Asia Key Message Update August 2024: Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persist amid measured seasonal improvements, 2024.
This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.