Afghanistan

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Food Security Outlook October 2025 - May 2026 High food assistance needs and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) expected in early 2026 Download the report
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected through late 2025 in the central highlands and northern rainfed belt. A poor 2025 harvest and decline in agricultural labor demand due to drought have reduced household income and access to food. In early 2026, Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are expected to emerge at the peak of the lean season in Faryab, Ghor, and Daykundi provinces. Household access to food is expected to decline further during the lean season, resulting in large food consumption deficits. Atypically high levels of acute malnutrition are expected among children under five due to reduced food intake.
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected across the northern and western highlands until the start of the next harvest in May 2026. Poor households are expected to deplete their food stocks from the below-average 2025 harvest during the winter months, and the seasonal absence of agricultural and casual labor income will limit capacity to purchase food. At the same time, household income from remittances is expected to be low due to the mass deportation of Afghans from Iran and Pakistan. By May, however, household food consumption is expected to relatively improve with the availability of the 2026 harvest.
  • The northern rainfed belt – particularly Faryab, Daykundi, and Ghor provinces – are the areas of highest concern. These provinces have been the most severely affected by the ongoing, four-year drought in Afghanistan, which resulted in the failure of rainfed wheat crops in 2025. These areas have also seen the highest influx of returnees from Iran and Pakistan, who have increased the labor supply in an already weak labor market.
  • FEWS NET estimates that food assistance needs in Afghanistan will be among the highest recorded since FEWS NET first began estimating the population in need in the country in 2014. An estimated 10.0 to 10.99 million people are expected to be in need of humanitarian food assistance at the peak of the February to April lean season. In May, once the harvest begins in lowland areas, the population in need will most likely start to moderately decrease as household and market food stocks increase.
  • The analysis in this report is based on information available as of October 17, 2025.
 Read the full analysis
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Food security
Key Message Update Afghanistan September 2025
Key Message Update Afghanistan August 2025
Key Message Update Afghanistan July 2025
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global November 13, 2025 - November 19, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global November 6, 2025 - November 12, 2025
Global Weather Hazards Global October 30, 2025 - November 5, 2025
Markets & trade
Price Watch Global February 28, 2023
Price Watch Global January 31, 2023
Supply and Market Outlook Middle East and Asia January 31, 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
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Food Security Classification Data View all Afghanistan Food Security Classification data
Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Current (October 2025) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2025 (.zip) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2025 (.geojson) Current Situation: October 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Current Situation: October 2025 (.kml) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Current (October 2024) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2024 - January 2025) and medium term (February 2025 - May 2025) periods.

 Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2024 (.zip) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2024 (.geojson) Current Situation: October 2024 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.png) Current Situation: October 2024 (.kml) Near Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2025 - May 2025 (.kml) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (September 2024) and medium term (October 2024 - January 2025) periods.

 Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile September 2024 (.zip) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification September 2024 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: September 2024 (.png) Medium Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: September 2024 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: October 2024 - January 2025 (.kml)
Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar reveals the annual and cyclical patterns in a community throughout the typical year.
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Afghanistan
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Wheat, Northern Region, Normal Year Wheat, Western Region, Normal Year
Satellite-Derived Products

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all Satellite-Derived Products
Livelihood Zone Resources Afghanistan Livelihood Zone Descriptions, February 2011 Afghanistan Livelihoods Map, March 2011
Afghanistan 2011 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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