Afghanistan

Middle East and Asia Subscribe to Afghanistan reports
Afghanistan
 Afghanistan Flag Afghanistan Flag
Latest analysis
Food Security Outlook Update December 2025 Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes or worse expected as the lean season peaks in early 2026 Download the report
  • Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are likely to emerge in Faryab, Ghor, and Daykundi provinces in early 2026. Severe drought, depleted food stocks, and the seasonal absence of agricultural and casual labor will likely drive limited access to food. Poor households are expected to engage in severe livelihood coping strategies, such as selling last female livestock, early marriage of daughters, and begging. Households will likely face large food consumption gaps, driving atypically high levels of acute malnutrition.
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected to remain widespread, primarily driven by prolonged drought, reduced remittances, and limited labor opportunities. The February to April lean season marks the period of greatest food and income constraints. Poor households will rely heavily on markets for food, but purchasing power will remain below average. In areas facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3), poor households will experience moderate food consumption gaps. Conditions are expected to improve countrywide in May as the wheat and barley harvest begins, improving household access to food.
  • Winter wheat planting has largely concluded across the country, though late and below-average precipitation has limited engagement in planting activities. This has driven a below-average total area planted of winter wheat, notably in northern and northeastern areas, compared to both last year and the long-term average. Updated international forecast models have no clear indication of average, above-, or below-average rainfall. While average precipitation is most likely to support spring wheat production, below-average rainfall could lead to a fifth consecutive drought and poor wheat production in 2026.

  • Since mid-October, the Afghanistan-Pakistan border closure has disrupted trade and slightly raised food prices associated with higher transportation costs. Between November and December, food prices increased marginally, as alternative trade routes and new trade partners offset negative impacts. Livelihood activities in bordering districts have also been disrupted as they are heavily linked to trade. The FEWS NET projection assumes that the border closure is indefinite, lasting through at least May, adding pressure to an already weak economy.

    This report provides an update to the October 2025 to May 2026 Food Security Outlook and November 2025 Key Message Update. The analysis is based on information available as of December 25, 2025. 

 Read the full analysis
More analysis View all Afghanistan analysis Food security
FEWS NET Analysis Note Afghanistan November 2025
Key Message Update Afghanistan November 2025
Food Security Outlook Afghanistan October 2025 - May 2026
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global January 15, 2026 - January 21, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 8, 2026 - January 14, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 1, 2026 - January 7, 2026
Markets & trade
Price Watch Global December 30, 2025
Price Watch Global November 30, 2025
Price Watch Global October 31, 2025
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Other Reports Afghanistan April 2021
Food security
FEWS NET Analysis Note Afghanistan November 2025
Key Message Update Afghanistan November 2025
Food Security Outlook Afghanistan October 2025 - May 2026
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Global January 15, 2026 - January 21, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 8, 2026 - January 14, 2026
Global Weather Hazards Global January 1, 2026 - January 7, 2026
Markets & trade
Price Watch Global December 30, 2025
Price Watch Global November 30, 2025
Price Watch Global October 31, 2025
Alerts / Special Reports
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Other Reports Afghanistan April 2021
Food Security Classification Data View all Afghanistan Food Security Classification data
Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (December 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile December 2025 (.zip) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification December 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: December 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: December 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (November 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile November 2025 (.zip) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification November 2025 (.geojson) Near Term Projection: November 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Near Term Projection: November 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification

Current (October 2025) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (October 2025 - January 2026) and medium term (February 2026 - May 2026) periods.

 Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile October 2025 (.zip) Afghanistan Acute Food Insecurity Classification October 2025 (.geojson) Current Situation: October 2025 (.png) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.png) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.png) Current Situation: October 2025 (.kml) Near Term Projection: October 2025 - January 2026 (.kml) Medium Term Projection: February 2026 - May 2026 (.kml)
Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar reveals the annual and cyclical patterns in a community throughout the typical year.
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Afghanistan
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Wheat, Northern Region, Normal Year Wheat, Western Region, Normal Year
Satellite-Derived Products

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all Satellite-Derived Products
Livelihood Zone Resources Afghanistan Livelihood Zone Descriptions, February 2011 Afghanistan Livelihoods Map, March 2011
Afghanistan 2011 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
Get the latest food security updates in your inbox Sign up for emails

The information provided on this Website is not official U.S. Government information and does not represent the views or positions of the U.S. Department of State or the U.S. Government.