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Food Security Outlook June 2026 - January 2027 Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes emerge following high-magnitude earthquakes Download report Read full report
  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected in La Guaira, Distrito Capital (Caracas), Yaracuy, Carabobo, and Aragua following back-to-back earthquakes of 7.2 and 7.5 magnitude on June 24. Although post-disaster assessments are still ongoing, direct physical damage is expected to be billions of USD, while overall economic losses are likely to be higher. Among worst-affected poor households, disrupted livelihoods, asset and income losses, the deaths of working family members, and increased medical expenses amid sustained high inflation are driving food consumption gaps and the use of negative coping strategies. Across the rest of Venezuela, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected with pockets of households in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), as extremely low purchasing power continues amid persistent local currency volatility and high general and food inflation rates. 
  • In the immediate aftermath of the earthquakes, FEWS NET estimates that between 3.0-3.49 million people are in need of humanitarian food assistance. The population in need is expected to gradually decline through January 2027 as the clearing of rubble and debris, rebuilding, and restoration of basic services – alongside improving macroeconomic conditions – support the recovery of household livelihoods. 
  • Macroeconomic conditions are likely to improve progressively, even though inflation will remain high. Government revenues are expected to increase due to higher oil production and exports and competitive international prices, supporting continued intervention to contain local currency depreciation and sustain social safety net benefits. Monthly inflation is expected to remain below 15 percent, while annual inflation is anticipated to remain close to 550 percent, similar to 2025 levels. In addition, the gap between the official and parallel exchange rate is expected to remain near 45 percent, eroding the real value of social safety net bonuses and household purchasing power even as the value of most benefits are expected to increase according to indexation. The government has announced an emergency response bonus, but details are limited. 

The analysis in this report is based on information available as of June 30, 2026.
More analysis reports View all Venezuela food security analysis reports
Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Venezuela May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Venezuela April - September 2026
Key Message Update Venezuela March - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Venezuela May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Venezuela April - September 2026
Key Message Update Venezuela March - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
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FEWS NET–style food security map of East Africa showing crisis severity by color, with conflict icons and alerts across Somalia, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Acute Food Insecurity Area-Level Classifications

FEWS NET produces IPC-compatible area-level acute food insecurity classifications monthly for FEWS NET reporting countries. This data is available as spatial files, tabular files, and map images. It is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our Food Security Outlooks and Outlook Updates (FSO/U) and Key Message Updates (KMU).

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Map of East Africa with large colored circles over Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and South Sudan indicating comparative regional metrics; capitals labeled.
Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates

These estimates reflect the total population estimated to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity outcomes, including those who are receiving humanitarian food assistance and those who are not. This tabular data is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our FSOs, global Food Assistance Outlook Briefs (FAOB), and semi-annual global Peak Food Assistance Needs Outlook Briefs.

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Monthly Global Price Watch reports

This report provides the latest outlook on global, regional, and national market trends of key commodity prices in FEWS NET reporting countries and also analyzes the various drivers influencing these trends.

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Price data is available for a large number of countries and products around the world. This data can be used to track the change in price of commodities, food staples, agricultural inputs, and other products over time and is a key input to FEWS NET food security analysis and Global Price Watch reports.

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Agroclimatology resources

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Weekly Global Weather Hazards reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

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Seasonal Monitor reports

This report provides regional updates on weather events, rainfall patterns, and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, water availability) during a given geography’s rainy season, along with a short-term rainfall forecast.

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Agroclimatology data

FEWS NET and its partners offer a range of online tools that share insights on rainfall, temperature, vegetation, soil moisture, and surface water conditions derived from remote sensing data collection and modeling.

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Seasonal Calendar

These calendars illustrate the monthly availability of key food and income sources, plus the starts and ends to key rainy and lean seasons. They supplement livelihoods resources and are integral to FEWS NET’s food security analysis.

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Venezuela seasonal calendar showing Jun–Aug lean season during rainy period and key crop, labor, and hurricane timing.
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