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Poor Primera harvests across the region

  • Key Message Update
  • Latin America and the Caribbean
  • September 2014
Poor Primera harvests across the region

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Poor households and small farmers in the dry corridor of Honduras and El Salvador will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2) from August to December due to well below-average 2014 Primera harvests, reduced income from coffee sector employment and sales, and above-average prices of red beans.

    • Poor households and migrants in the dry corridor of Nicaragua will face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity through September due to reserves of basic grains and alternative work sources. However, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity is expected during the October to December period due to very high 2014 Primera season losses and high red bean prices.

    • In Guatemala, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) food security outcomes will remain in the departments El Progreso, San Rosa, Zacapa, Chiquimula, Jalapa, and Jutiapa until October. A FEWS NET assessment in these departments found that there were losses of maize and bean crops of 80 to 100 percent among subsistence farmers. From November to December, incomes will improve during the period of peak labor demand, and food access and availability will improve with Postrera harvests.  Stressed food insecurity will be present during this period.  Crisis levels will be present in the Highlands until December, following the annual harvests in November/December.  

    • In the Central America region, below-average Postrera harvests (November-December) are expected given the forecast for below-average rainfall for the dry corridor and the Pacific basin.

    • In Haiti, despite improvements in rainfall in late August, rainfall since early June continues to be 50-80 percent of normal in southern areas of Haiti and the Central Plateau. Below-average rainfall is expected for the remainder of the August-December rainy season, likely causing the second-below average harvest this year.   A second consecutive poor harvest and reduced agricultural income would cause an early start in February to the lean season for poor households. Stressed food security outcomes will continue through the end of the year in parts of Artibonite, Northwestern, Northeastern, Southeastern, and Nippes departments.  During October to December, Crisis food security outcomes are expected in parts of the Northeast and Center departments and Ile de la Gonave. 

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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