Honduras

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Key Message Update July 2026 - January 2027 Poor rainfall performance drives localized primera losses in the western Dry Corridor Download report
  • Most of Honduras is expected to remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2) through January 2027; however, poor households in the Dry Corridor and the Pacific coastal region of Choluteca will continue to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes through September 2026. Although improvements to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) are expected post-harvest, below-average and erratic rainfall and above-average temperatures, as well as an extended canícula dry spell, are expected to reduce agricultural production, accelerate household food stock depletion, and drive atypically early market reliance. Elevated staple food and fertilizer prices, combined with persistently high transportation and production costs, will continue to erode household purchasing power, limiting seasonal gains. However, more diversified income-earning opportunities will support Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes in major urban centers, the northern Caribbean coast, and the Bay Islands through January 2027.
  • Most of Honduras experienced severe rainfall deficits during July, with the onset of the canícula dry spell further worsening moisture stress for crops. Rainfall totals between July 1 and July 31 across much of the country reached only 45 and 60 percent of average, while parts of the southern Dry Corridor, including Choluteca, received as little as 30 percent of the average seasonal rainfall. The start of the canícula in July is expected to further reduce soil moisture in affected areas, increasing the risk of production losses to rainfed crops. Meanwhile, localized flooding was reported in parts of Gracias a Dios and Olancho, damaging cassava, maize, and rice crops in Gracias a Dios, disrupting agricultural and livestock activities, and damaging infrastructure. Poor Indigenous populations in affected remote areas are expected to face temporary disruptions to food and income sources.
  • Delayed and reduced primera planting is expected to reduce rainfed crop production, limiting poor households’ ability to replenish food stocks and increasing market reliance well into the post-harvest period. According to the Secretariat of Agriculture and Livestock (DICTA-SAG), poor rainfall and prolonged dry spells disrupted primera planting and crop development across several production areas. Significant delays in rainfall onset across the southwestern Dry Corridor forced many farmers to postpone planting until soil moisture conditions improved, including into July in parts of Copán and other western departments. Crop losses are already being reported amid erratic rainfall, including approximately 12,532 manzanas (8,772 hectares) of maize and more than 4,400 manzanas (3,080 hectares) of red beans lost due to adverse weather conditions as of July. Losses have been concentrated in the Dry Corridor, particularly across Lempira, Ocotepeque, Intibucá, and Comayagua, where some areas experienced up to 22 days without rainfall. Continued moisture deficits are expected to further reduce yields, while delayed planting will likely postpone localized primera harvests.
  • Above-average fertilizer prices have increased production costs during primera planting, limiting input use among poor subsistence farmers. In June, NPK 12-24-12 prices were 28.2 percent above last year and 23 percent above the five-year average. DAP 18-46-0 prices were 30.5 percent higher than last year and 28.2 percent higher than the five-year average, while urea prices were 73.3 percent above last year and 62.2 percent above the five-year average. Elevated fertilizer costs during planting, combined with erratic rainfall, have likely limited application rates among smallholder farmers and constrained crop development, contributing to below-average yields and limiting households' ability to replenish food stocks after the primera harvest. Persistently high fertilizer prices are expected to increase production costs for the upcoming postrera season. Meanwhile, elevated fuel prices continue to drive inflation, with transportation costs nearly 15 percent above last year, contributing to higher food prices (4.7 percent higher) and utility costs (5.9 percent higher), including electricity and water costs due to hydropower generation. 
  • Staple food prices remain above average during the lean season. In June, white maize prices remained 30.8 percent above last year and 35.4 percent above the five-year average. Persistent deficits in domestic maize production relative to national consumption continue to drive elevated costs. Although imports have increased, slower maize import flows, coupled with growing exports to Nicaragua, continue to sustain elevated prices. In contrast, red bean prices have been relatively more stable, supported by above-average imports following the 2026 apante harvest and by a shift among farmers from maize to red bean production during the MY 2024/25 primera season. While this shift potentially reduced maize carryover stocks, it also supported local bean availability. Nevertheless, red bean prices rose 5.5 percent compared to May and remained 9.1 percent above the five-year average, as below-average production in recent years continues to sustain above-average prices.
More analysis reports View all Honduras food security analysis reports
Monthly analysis
Food Security Outlook Honduras June 2026 - January 2027
Key Message Update Honduras May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Honduras April - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Monthly analysis
Food Security Outlook Honduras June 2026 - January 2027
Key Message Update Honduras May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Honduras April - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
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Honduras 2014 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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