The unstable socio-political and economic situation continues to worsen food security conditions in Haiti

The spring harvests, which are below average, will negatively impact the summer/fall and winter harvests, as farmers use the income and seeds from the ongoing season as inputs for subsequent ones. Despite regular and average rainfall anticipated until October, the harvests from subsequent seasons are expected to be below average.

The socio-political climate is deteriorating with the scarcity of fuel, which will lead to an increase in transportation costs and food prices. Additionally, between January and July 2020, the haitian gourde lost more than 22 percent of its value, reinforcing the inflationary expectations of economic agents. The prices of staple foods remain higher than last year’s prices and the five year average.

Despite the decision of the Haitian authorities to officially open the Haitian-Dominican border, it remains closed on the Dominican side. This reinforces informal trade between the two countries and increases the prices of products imported from the Dominican Republic. Additionally, imported cases of COVID-19 are increasing following the re-opening of airports in the country. However, as economic activities resume, income earning opportunities are anticipated to increase, especially in urban centers.

The harvests in July and August, although below average, will temporarily improve food availability and thus stabilize the prices of local foods for a short time, notably for beans and maize. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are anticipated in Haut Artibonite, Haut Plateau, Bas Nord-Ouest, Nord-Est, Nippes, parts of Ouest, Sud-Est, Sud and Grand'Anse. The other regions (Bas Artibonite, Bas Plateau, Plaine des Cayes, etc.) where the harvests are expected to be average, will remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2).