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The annual season of high demand for casual labor began this month; Although this will mean greater income options for the poorest households when compared to previous months, the income from coffee for the current year will be lower given the low sales prices, which will imply decreased food access.
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Flood damage has been reported in the south and north of the country. Additionally, the irregularities and deficit of rains in areas previously affected by the seasonal dry spell, in municipalities of Zacapa, caused crop losses for basic grains of Postrera agricultural cycle. In the rest of the east, Postrera crops show an adequate development, although an early end to the rainy season could affect the harvest.
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The prices of maize and black beans maintain their seasonal trend, decreasing with upcoming harvests. Although, bean prices will remain below average, due to low demand and high supply, and maize at or slightly above average. Households affected by the seasonal dry spell could see their purchasing power limited.
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Until January 2019, areas affected by the rain deficit are expected to be in Stress (IPC, Phase 2), while the rest of the country will be in Minimal food insecurity (IPC, Phase 1). However, there is a certain amount of households within the first areas that are in Crisis (IPC, Phase 3), which will increase as the lean season progresses.
This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.