Agricultural wages and demand are near average

The lean season has started and labor options are limited in various sectors. Poor households are increasingly depending on purchases as a source of food. Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are expected in many areas, with the exception of areas of concern that are expected to be Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

Maize prices in February remained stable in comparison to the previous month and year, but below average. The prices of black beans remained close to average after increasing since July 2017. An average Postrera harvest improved market supplies.

Based on favorable weather conditions, an average maize harvest is expected in Petén, the transversal strip of the northern region and parts of Izabal, in March. As a result, maize prices are expected to decrease slightly, according to seasonal trends, and then increase until the Primera crops are ready in July. Black bean prices will continue to decline until beginning an upward trend in April, as a result of average production in the south of Petén.

Forecasts indicate a likelihood of an average rainy season, with the possibility of a start in watershed and southwestern areas in late April. The chances of a canícula are average for this season.