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Positive prospects for Primera staple production in the dry corridor

  • Key Message Update
  • Guatemala
  • July 2017
Positive prospects for Primera staple production in the dry corridor

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Despite below-average cumulative precipitation in July in the dry corridor, good soil moisture and the absence of extended periods without rain have been favorable to the development of staple crops during the Primera season. Considering current forecasts, average staple harvests are expected for the season, which will improve food availability for producing households, as well as generate local employment opportunities. With staple harvests and the beginning of the period of high labor demand, food security outcomes will improve for households in these areas, improving from Crisis (IPC Phase 3) to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) from August/September at least through the end of the analysis period in January 2018.

    • Although expectations for staple production in the dry corridor are positive, households who have been most affected by low production during consecutive years and limited availability of employment in the coffee sector due to the coffee rust infestation since 2012, are not expected to fully recover their normal livelihoods after this year’s staple harvests. This is due to various factors, including indebtedness and the selling of productive assets that many households have utilized in recent years to meet basic needs. Although the majority of poor households will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2), it is likely that some of the poorest households will remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) throughout the period.

    • Maize prices are currently at their lowest levels in the past ten years, which is facilitating market access for very poor households, who depend exclusively on market purchases as a source of food at this time of year. Maize prices are expected to remain similar during the coming months. Meanwhile, prices for black beans are above average, by up to 24.65 percent compared to the five-year average. High prices for black beans are limiting poor households’ consumption of this staple.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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