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Dry conditions cause damage to Primera crops in the Dry Corridor

  • Key Message Update
  • Guatemala
  • July 2016
Dry conditions cause damage to Primera crops in the Dry Corridor

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Due to continued high temperatures, irregular rainfall and accumulation below 50 percent of average, damages to Primera season staple crops have been reported, particularly in Huehuetenango, Totonicapán, Quiché, Sololá, and El Progreso Departments. This will lead to a below-average harvest through these areas, even as rainfall may be near average during the remaining months of the season, as distribution is likely to remain erratic.

    • For the Postrera season, an increase in cumulative rainfall is expected, with totals near average for the second part of the rainy season through November. However, temperatures are forecast to remain above normal. Despite continued irregularities in rainfall distribution, Postrera yields are expected to be better than those of the Primera. Nevertheless, large rainfall events over short time periods could pose a threat to Postrera bean production.

    • The poorest households of the Temperate Western Highlands will continue using negative coping strategies to confront their deficit in income and food sources, and will remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) until October, when the period of high demand for agricultural labor will begin. The annual staple harvest, which will be delayed this year and occur between December 2016 and January 2017, will improve household food availability, reducing their dependence on market purchases. From October until at least January 2017, this area will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2), with localized groups of households in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). 

    • The poorest households in the Eastern part of the country will be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) until the Primera harvests in September, due to losses during both staple agricultural seasons in 2015 and the extended lean season this year. During this period, WFP and CRS will provide cash and food assistance in some municipalities of Chiquimula, Baja Verapaz, Jalapa, and Jutiapa, mitigating food security outcomes to Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) until September. Despite expectations for below-average Primera and Postrera harvests, from October 2016 until at least January 2017, poor households will experience an improvement in food availability. The seasonal improvement in employment opportunities will also permit an improvement in purchasing power. These two factors will allow these households to improve to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) through at least January.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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