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Losses and yield reduction in the Dry Corridor for the Primera crops

  • Key Message Update
  • Guatemala
  • August 2018
Losses and yield reduction in the Dry Corridor for the Primera crops

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • The extension of the dry spell for more than 25 days without rain will cause losses close to 100 percent in beans in the eastern and western dry corridor, and a yield reduction of 50 to 100 percent in corn, which will impact the stocks of affected households, making them resort to the market for food access earlier than usual. Until January 2019, households will remain in stress conditions (IPC, Phase 2).

    • Domestic and Mexican corn prices are close to the five-year average and higher by 27 percent compared to last year and influenced by lower supply and speculation due to climatic effects, in addition to the seasonal peak. The prices will decrease from September, when the crops of Costa Sur, Franja Transversal del Norte, Petén and Mexico are harvested.

    • The reduction in labor demand in the coffee sector will continue, caused by the fall in international prices and low yields, while other income generating sectors will remain stable. The households plan to resort to the sale of firewood, unusual sale of minor species and atypical migration to various destinations, including urban centers.

    • From August to November, rainfall is forecasted to be normal to below normal, with an early end, which will have an impact on the final development of crops in the West, and a reduction in yield in the Postrera cycle in the East, which already suffered a decrease in production following the losses of Primera.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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