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Latest food security analysis

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Key messages
Perspectiva de seguridad alimentaria Junio 2026 - Enero 2027 Reducción de lluvias, altas temperaturas y prolongada dependencia del mercado mantienen resultados de Crisis (Fase 3, CIF) Download report Read full report
  • Entre junio y septiembre 2026, en el Corredor Seco, áreas de Alta Verapaz y del Altiplano Occidental, los hogares más pobres estarán en Crisis (Fase 3, CIF), tras pérdidas consecutivas de cosechas, alta dependencia del mercado e ingresos menores a lo usual y una temporada de escasez prematura. Las lluvias irregulares, las altas temperaturas y el aumento de los precios de los insumos continuarán limitando el empleo agrícola, obligando a los hogares a recurrir a estrategias como vender activos productivos y reducir porciones.
  • Entre octubre 2026 y enero 2027, muchos hogares pobres se clasificarán en situación Acentuada (Fase 2, CIF) pues los ingresos por trabajo temporal en los cultivos comerciales y las cosechas de granos básicos, aunque tardías y por debajo del promedio, mejorarán temporalmente el acceso y el consumo de alimentos por unos meses. No obstante, en el Corredor Seco y áreas de Alta Verapaz y Altiplano, los hogares que, de nuevo, no obtuvieron cosechas este año permanecerán en Crisis (Fase 3, CIF) hasta enero, ya que continuarán dependiendo del mercado, contando con ingresos limitados para asegurar una dieta mínimamente adecuada pues el pago de deudas y altos precios restringirá su poder de compra.  
  • El fenómeno de El Niño mantendrá precipitaciones por debajo de lo normal y temperaturas elevadas, hasta enero, afectando los cultivos de Primera y las siembras de Postrera. Dado el tardío establecimiento de las lluvias y el atraso en las siembras, las cosechas de granos básicos fluirán a los mercados con retraso, manteniendo los precios altos por más tiempo. 
  • FEWS NET estima que la población en necesidad de asistencia alimentaria será entre 2.0 y 2.49 millones entre junio y septiembre, alcanzando el límite superior del rango entre julio y agosto, a medida que las reservas mermen, las fuentes de ingresos disminuyan y la dependencia de la compra de alimentos se intensifique. Entre octubre 2026 y enero 2027, el aumento estacional de los ingresos y la disponibilidad de cosechas propias permitirán que muchos hogares mejoren el consumo de alimentos por lo que la población en necesidad alimentaria será entre 1.5 y 1.99 millones de personas.  

    El análisis presentado aquí se base en la información disponible al 22 de junio de 2026.  

More analysis reports View all Guatemala food security analysis reports
Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Guatemala May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Guatemala April - September 2026
Key Message Update Guatemala March - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Guatemala May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Guatemala April - September 2026
Key Message Update Guatemala March - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Special Report Global May 1, 2025
Explore food security analysis data
Description

The FEWS NET Data Explorer hosts the widest range of FEWS NET data for download or extract via API. The Data Explorer requires a free user account for access.

FEWS NET–style food security map of East Africa showing crisis severity by color, with conflict icons and alerts across Somalia, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Acute Food Insecurity Area-Level Classifications

FEWS NET produces IPC-compatible area-level acute food insecurity classifications monthly for FEWS NET reporting countries. This data is available as spatial files, tabular files, and map images. It is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our Food Security Outlooks and Outlook Updates (FSO/U) and Key Message Updates (KMU).

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Map of East Africa with large colored circles over Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and South Sudan indicating comparative regional metrics; capitals labeled.
Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates

These estimates reflect the total population estimated to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity outcomes, including those who are receiving humanitarian food assistance and those who are not. This tabular data is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our FSOs, global Food Assistance Outlook Briefs (FAOB), and semi-annual global Peak Food Assistance Needs Outlook Briefs.

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Markets and trade resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s market price data and analysis, plus trade flow maps.

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Monthly Global Price Watch reports

This report provides the latest outlook on global, regional, and national market trends of key commodity prices in FEWS NET reporting countries and also analyzes the various drivers influencing these trends.

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Production and Trade Flow Maps

These maps display the geography of market systems and trade flow patterns for key products, including their key market towns and cross-border trade points.

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Price data

Price data is available for a large number of countries and products around the world. This data can be used to track the change in price of commodities, food staples, agricultural inputs, and other products over time and is a key input to FEWS NET food security analysis and Global Price Watch reports.

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Agroclimatology resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s remote sensing data and analysis of weather conditions.

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Weekly Global Weather Hazards reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

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Seasonal Monitor reports

This report provides regional updates on weather events, rainfall patterns, and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, water availability) during a given geography’s rainy season, along with a short-term rainfall forecast.

View Latin America and the Caribbean Seasonal Monitor reports
Agroclimatology data

FEWS NET and its partners offer a range of online tools that share insights on rainfall, temperature, vegetation, soil moisture, and surface water conditions derived from remote sensing data collection and modeling.

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Livelihoods resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s maps, reports, and data on local livelihood systems.

Learn more about livelihoods
Guatemala 2016 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
Livelihood Baselines

Baselines provide quantitative analysis of household livelihood options. It includes a detailed breakdown of food, cash, and expenditure patterns. The Baseline also highlights market patterns, seasonality, and coping strategies.

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Livelihood Profiles

Profiles briefly describe wealth groups and compare the various sources of food and income particular to each. The Profiles provide a basis for understanding how and whether different groups may be vulnerable to shocks such as drought, flooding, conflict or a market disruption.

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Livelihood Zone maps

Zone Maps illustrate the country by zone, showing areas where people generally have the same options for obtaining food and income and engaging in trade.

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Seasonal Calendar
Description

These calendars illustrate the monthly availability of key food and income sources, plus the starts and ends to key rainy and lean seasons. They supplement livelihoods resources and are integral to FEWS NET’s food security analysis.

View and download the Guatemala Seasonal Calendar
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Guatemala
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