Skip to main content

A possible El Niño phenomenon could worsen food security for the poorest households in the region

  • Food Security Outlook Update
  • Latin America and the Caribbean
  • February 2014
A possible El Niño phenomenon could worsen food security for the poorest households in the region

Download the Report

  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Due to the Primera season losses, reduced income in coffee-growing areas, and an increased dependence on market purchase, poor households in western Guatemala and southern Honduras will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2) from April to July. The rest of poor households in the region (Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua) will be in Minimal acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 1), as a result of the recent harvests and seasonal employment.
    • In the four countries of Central America, there is up to a 50 percent probability of a transition to El Niño-like conditions during the second quarter of the year; this could result in erratic rains that would put the development of the staple grain crops at risk during the Primera season, as well as potentially their yields.
    • In Haiti since October, the drought continues to affect production. The autumn harvests have been very poor; which translates into a lack of local products in their respective markets. A shortage of seeds is expected for the debut of the spring season due to poor households having depleted their reserves while lacking the necessary income to access the market between March and April.
    • Poor households in the dry agriculture, fisheries and agro-pastoral areas in Haiti are facing with Stressed food security outcomes (IPC Phase 2) because of the early depletion of food stocks and low income due to the reduced labor demand since December 2013. These households will experience Crisis food insecurity (IPC Phase 3) from April to July.
    Figures

    Figure 2

    Source:

    This Food Security Outlook Update provides an analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography over the next six months. Learn more here.

    Get the latest food security updates in your inbox Sign up for emails

    The information provided on this Website is not official U.S. Government information and does not represent the views or positions of the U.S. Agency for International Development or the U.S. Government.

    Jump back to top