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Harvesting period and increased demand for labor do not significantly improve food security

  • Key Message Update
  • El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua
  • September 2020
Harvesting period and increased demand for labor do not significantly improve food security

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Honduras and El Salvador are progressing towards economic reopening, slowly increasing the workforce in some sectors, opening borders and greater citizen mobility. However, there are still some who have not restarted operations, and those who have, have yet to recover economically to see significant changes in employment and income. The voluntary quarantine of the Nicaraguan population has also fluctuated depending on the need for income and the uncertainty in the health situation in the country.

    • Remittances in recovery since April, seasonally lower food prices, open markets and supplied by crops with positive yields have implied a slight improvement in the food access of urban and rural households. But the mobility restrictions that still persist, biosafety protocols and a greater supply of labor could make it difficult to generate wage income for the poorest rural households during the peak season, which begins in October.

    • An above-average rainfall forecast, due to La Niña ENSO conditions, presents favorable conditions for a Postrera cycle with average or higher yield, as long as the necessary measures are taken to avoid fungal diseases in beans. With this, the prices of maize and red beans are expected to decrease even more, although they will continue to be above average. Producing households will also see an improvement in their food availability.

    • The partial economic reopening and greater availability of food and income will keep most rural and urban households in Stress (IPC Phase 2). The poorest urban households, which depend on the informal economy, and the rural ones in the Honduran dry corridor and the Salvadoran coffee area will continue in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), due to the deterioration of their livelihoods due to past and current shocks . Upcoming food assistance delivery is uncertain.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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