Skip to main content

Partial economic reactivation insufficient for a significant improvement in food security

  • Key Message Update
  • El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua
  • July 2020
Partial economic reactivation insufficient for a significant improvement in food security

Download the Report

  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Honduras and El Salvador have been forced to repeatedly reschedule economic recovery plans and re-confine specific departments to contain COVID-19 cases. An intermittent and delayed opening is expected in the coming months, as the peak of the curve is expected between July and September. The voluntary quarantine of the Nicaraguan population will gradually recede, due to the need for income.

    • Slight improvement in remittances, lower food prices, open and supplied markets, and partial economic reactivation are insufficient to significantly improve access to food for urban and rural households given the accumulated loss of income, particularly regarding informal employment. Despite the season of high demand for casual labor starting in September, the prevailing mobility restrictions could result in lower-than-average incomes for the poorest rural households.

    • A seasonal increase of white maize and beans availability in the markets is anticipated in August, with the flow of an average Primera crop, and close to average Postrera in November. The prices of these two products are expected to decline seasonally, but remain above average, particularly the red beans. Producing households will also see an improvement in food availability.

    • A possible economic opening and seasonal improvements in the availability of food and income will keep most rural and urban households in Stress (IPC Phase 2). Some urban households dependent on the informal economy, as well as rural households in the Honduran dry corridor and the Salvadoran coffee-growing livelihood zone will remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), given the deterioration of their response capacity and their livelihoods due to previous negative events and the current COVID-19 context.

    • At the beginning of July, the International Regional Agricultural and Animal Health Organization (OIRSA) issued an alert for the appearance of localized outbreaks of the Central American locust (Schistocerca piceifrons) in Guatemala and Mexico. However, no outbreaks have been observed in the rest of the region and, given early monitoring and surveillance, it is expected that this pest will remain under control, avoiding damage to crops.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

    Get the latest food security updates in your inbox Sign up for emails

    The information provided on this Website is not official U.S. Government information and does not represent the views or positions of the U.S. Agency for International Development or the U.S. Government.

    Jump back to top