Famine Early Warning Systems Network


Central America and Caribbean

El Salvador, Honduras, and Nicaragua

Key Message Update

Vulnerable households in Central America progressively enter the lean season

IPC v3.0 Phase d'Insécurité Alimentaire Aiguë

1: Minimale
2: Stress
3+: Crise ou pire
Serait probablement pire, au moins une phase, sans
l'assistance humanitaire en cours ou programmée
La manière de classification que FEWS NET utilise est compatible avec l’IPC. Une analyse qui est compatible avec l’IPC suit les principaux protocoles de l’IPC mais ne reflète pas nécessairement le consensus des partenaires nationaux en matière de sécurité alimentaire.
Pour les pays suivis à distance par FEWS NET, un contour coloré est utilisé pour représenter la classification de l’IPC la plus élevée dans les zones de préoccupation.
Mars - Mai 2019
Los tres países se encuentran en fase 2 (estrés)
Juin - Septembre 2019
Los tres países se encuentran en fase 2 (estrés)
Mars 2019
Messages clés: 

As of March 2019, the poorest households in vulnerable communities are facing Stress (IPC, Phase 2) food security outcomes, due to deterioration in their livelihoods, recurrent crop losses, low income possibilities and price rises in basic products; however, the poorest households in isolated communities could find themselves in acute food insecurity in Crisis (Phase 3, CIF), estimating that Honduras has the largest vulnerable population.

Since mid-February weak El Niño conditions have been observed, which according to the March forecast will last until the end of fall 2019, causing irregularities in the rains and affecting the two sowing periods (Primera and Postrera).

At this time there is generally a seasonal increase in grain prices, however, they have remained stable this year, although higher than last year (20 - 70%), which is attributed to the harvest losses of the last season, which, added to the forecasts of irregularities of rain for the next season propitiates the commercial speculation.

Temperatures above average are observed and in some regions there have been rivers without flow, a situation that would be extended to other regions until the beginning of the rainy season, with the corresponding complications for access to water for human consumption, agricultural production and particularly for cattle.The price of coffee in February according to the International Coffee Organization was quoted at 100.67 cents per pound, which is equivalent to -13% compared to February 2018 and -28% compared to the average of five years. The sustained decline in prices harms coffee farmers, which reduces the opportunities and income of families in the poorest regions of the countries, who migrate temporarily (October to March), affecting their purchasing power.

The price of coffee in February according to the International Coffee Organization was quoted at 100.67 cents per pound, which is equivalent to -13% compared to February 2018 and -28% compared to the average of five years. The sustained decline in prices harms coffee farmers, which reduces the opportunities and income of families in the poorest regions of the countries, who migrate temporarily (October to March), affecting their purchasing power.


https://fews.net/fr/central-america-and-caribbean/el-salvador-honduras-and-nicaragua/key-message-update/march-2019

FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The content of this report does not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Agency for International Development or the United States Government.