Informe especial

Nigeria Market Monitoring Bulletin

Julio 2017

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Concentración de personas desplazadas
Riesgo de hambruna elevado – la fase 5 no se puede ni confirmar ni invalidar con las pruebas disponibles
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Concentración de personas desplazadas
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

In June 2016, FEWS NET released an alert describing the national and regional implications of declining global crude oil prices on the Nigerian economy and subsequent currency depreciation since 2015. Within the context of this national economic shock, more than 3 million people in Northeast Nigeria already face significant food insecurity due to the Boko-Haram conflict. The Nigeria Market Monitoring Bulletin provides a summary of emerging market trends in Nigeria and the broader region. 

Mensajes clave

  • Recent increases in oil revenues are driving Nigeria’s economy out of recession gradually as major economic indicators continue to improve (increased foreign reserve levels and declining inflation). The 2017Q1 GDP also stood at -0.52 percent compared to -1.73 percent of 2016Q4. 

  • The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) continued to restrict the availability of foreign cash reserves for importing certain products like rice, wheat, and sugar. These goods are particularly important for Nigerian consumers in the southern part of the country, who rely on them heavily to meet their food needs. This has contributed to limiting the availability of many essential goods in major southern markets. 

  • With the protracted conflict and insecurity in the Northeast, local marketing basins that were once largely surplus-producing are now deficit, relying on imports of supplies of major staples from neighboring states and even from markets in northwest Nigeria. Most recently, insurgents’ activities in the Northeast have compounded the effects of the on-going lean-season, resulting in depleted stocks in the major reference markets. A recent assessment found that current stock levels are very limited and only expected to last a few months. 

  • Prices for white maize, an important staple food in the diets of vulnerable populations in the Northeast, are projected to increase further due to availability issues as the lean season peaks. 

  • The revised cash transfer value from the harmonization efforts of the Food Security Sector Working Group, which covers 70% of urban and 100% of rural survival caloric needs, and the recommendation for active price monitoring, will ensure sustained purchasing power of food assistance beneficiaries. The regional price hike, however, is an additional burden on limited funding constraints faced by partners.

About FEWS NET

La Red de Sistemas de Alerta Temprana contra la Hambruna es un proveedor de primera línea de alertas tempranas y análisis sobre la inseguridad alimentaria. Creada por la USAID en 1985 con el fin de ayudar a los responsables de tomar decisiones a prever crisis humanitarias, FEWS NET proporciona análisis asentados en evidencia sobre unos 35 países. Entre los integrantes del equipo ejecutor figuran la NASA, NOAA, USDA y el USGS, así como Chemonics International Inc. y Kimetrica. Lea más sobre nuestro trabajo.

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