Angola

Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persist in Huila, Namibe, and Cunene of Angola as the lean season continues longer than normal amid later than normal crop harvesting. Poor households in these areas face low access to food and income as a result of consecutive below-average rainy seasons that have caused years of low livestock and crop production.

Crop production in 2023 is favorable across much of the country, and the availability of locally produced crops – alongside improving economic conditions – is driving declining staple food prices in much of the country. However, these price trends are not being observed in the southwest, where below average crop production is expected due to poor 2020-2023 rainfall and a recent infestation of armyworm.

Angola’s economic performance continues to gradually improve, with inflation decreasing to 10.81 percent in March 2023, down from over 25 percent a year ago. Improved economic performance is driven in large part by the adoption of expansionary monetary policy, increased investment in agricultural projects, and the transition to a flexible exchange rate.

While the harvest is expected to be below average in southwestern areas of concern, it will still improve food security. The harvest, alongside seasonally declining food prices, will support poor households accessing food both from own production and markets between June and September 2023. As such, Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are most likely at the area-level during this time, though some very poor households are still expected to be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3).