Key Message Update

Delayed and erratic rains and high food prices to prolong Stressed outcomes

Noviembre 2015
2015-Q4-1-1-MZ-en

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

Mensajes clave

  • While the lean season continues, the majority of rural households are able to meet their basic food needs by expanding their typical livelihood strategies. From November to December, Minimal food insecurity outcomes (IPC Phase 1) will prevail throughout the country. However, Stressed (IPC Phase 2 and Phase2!) outcomes will persist in the interior of Gaza, Inhambane, and southern Sofala provinces. Social safety-net programming and humanitarian assistance is currently ongoing in the areas of concern and is expected to continue until the next harvest in March/April 2016. From January to March 2016 Stressed (IPC Phase 2 and Phase 2!) outcomes will continue for poor households.

  • With the effective rainfall yet to be established in much of the country, erratic rains have been occurring since the beginning of the second half of November, particularly in Maputo province and the coastal areas of Gaza and Inhambane provinces. However, most drought-affected areas in the interior of Gaza and Inhambane are still facing dry conditions due to the ongoing El Nino. Rainfall amounts and distribution during November are key for the start of the season.

  • Maize grain prices between September and October continued to be above average and increasing in most markets. Mocuba had the largest increase of 33 percent, followed by a 20 percent jump in Chókwe. The increasing trend reflects a consistent dwindling of maize stocks in the surplus producing regions and increased consumer demand. When compared to the previous year, this year’s maize grain prices were higher in almost all monitored markets. 

  • The Technical Secretariat for Food Security and Nutrition’s Vulnerability Assessment Group (SETSAN/GAV) is currently carrying out a countrywide vulnerability assessment. Findings from this assessment are expected to be available in early December and will provide an updated estimate of food insecure populations and where humanitarian assistance is needed. 

    For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for October.

About FEWS NET

La Red de Sistemas de Alerta Temprana contra la Hambruna es un proveedor de primera línea de alertas tempranas y análisis sobre la inseguridad alimentaria. Creada por la USAID en 1985 con el fin de ayudar a los responsables de tomar decisiones a prever crisis humanitarias, FEWS NET proporciona análisis asentados en evidencia sobre unos 35 países. Entre los integrantes del equipo ejecutor figuran la NASA, NOAA, USDA y el USGS, así como Chemonics International Inc. y Kimetrica. Lea más sobre nuestro trabajo.

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