Key Message Update

Household staple food stocks start to deplete in southern Madagascar

Septiembre 2020

Septiembre 2020

Octubre 2020 - Enero 2021

CIF v3.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF v3.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF v3.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

CIF v3.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Minimo
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

Mensajes clave

  • The lean season is approaching, and the consumption of tubers has seasonally increased, especially in southern Madagascar, given their relative affordability compared to rice.

  • In August 2020, large-scale in-kind assistance was distributed in response to COVID-19 in main affected cities, including Antananarivo, Toamasina, and Fianarantsoa. The distributions helped ease localized staple food price increases of 5 and 10 percent. However, in Tulear, where cash assistance was distributed rather than in-kind assistance, imported rice prices increased to around 30 percent above the five-year average, likely due to increased effective demand.

  • There are 16,377 confirmed cases of COVID-19 in Madagascar as of the end of September and 49 new cases have been confirmed on average per day since early September. All of the regions are now affected, with most cases found in Analamanga, Atsinanana, Alaotra Mangoro, and Diana regions. Movement restrictions and curfews have been lifted across the country except for Diana region, where the number of new cases is increasing at a relatively higher rate.

  • In the south, movement restrictions for both goods and people have been eased. As a result, people who had previously migrated to the capital and the west for income-earning opportunities and were stranded, are now returning to their areas of origin. A significant portion of poor and very poor southern households, however, are beginning to have difficulty acquiring sufficient food to meet their basic needs due to seasonal stock depletion coupled with below-average labor opportunities and increased transport costs.

  • Most poor households in the south (MG23, MG24, and MG26) will likely experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes starting in October as their staple food stocks from own production deplete and income earnings remain below normal. With restrictions lifted in the three previously locked down cities of Antananarivo, Fianarantsoa, and Toamasina, acute food security outcomes are Minimal (IPC Phase 1) but some pockets remain in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) due to lower income sources opportunities. Elsewhere, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are expected to prevail, though some households who depend on tourism and producers who are affected by low farm-gate prices are in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) acute food insecurity.

About FEWS NET

La Red de Sistemas de Alerta Temprana contra la Hambruna es un proveedor de primera línea de alertas tempranas y análisis sobre la inseguridad alimentaria. Creada por la USAID en 1985 con el fin de ayudar a los responsables de tomar decisiones a prever crisis humanitarias, FEWS NET proporciona análisis asentados en evidencia sobre unos 35 países. Entre los integrantes del equipo ejecutor figuran la NASA, NOAA, USDA y el USGS, así como Chemonics International Inc. y Kimetrica. Lea más sobre nuestro trabajo.

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