Key Message Update

The lean season has started earlier than usual in Southern Madagascar

Octubre 2018

Octubre 2018 - Enero 2019

Map of projected food security outcomes October 2018-January 2019: Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) in Beloha,  Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in the deep south and southeast coast, Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) in Tsihombe, the rest of the country in Minimal (IPC Phase 1).

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

Mensajes clave

  • The agricultural season started on time in September in the Central Highlands and Western Madagascar with the timely start of the rainy season, which allowed farmers to plant first season rice and maize. Although normal rainfall is expected in the South, poor households may not have sufficient seeds to plant.

  • Cereal prices have remained stable since September and are comparable to last year’s prices but are 20 percent above the five-year average. Tuber prices have increased by 20 percent since last month (up to 75 percent for dried cassava in Tsihombe and Beloha due to diminished supplies) and are 10 percent above the five-year average, and 50 percent higher than last year due to decreased production. Poor households in the south who are dependent on markets will not be able to purchase as much food and will likely consume more wild foods to fill the gap.

  • According to the surveillance system managed by MoH, UNICEF and ONN, the nutrition situation in Ampanihy has been maintained in emergency since the second quarter of 2018, the latest screening showed a GAM of 19.2 percent. The situation in Beloha also showed a deterioration trend compared to last term, 4 communes out of 6 are in alert where GAM prevalence between 10 and 12 percent. In the 6 other districts in the South, situations are under control

  • Poor and very poor households in the in the southwest (MG23) of Madagascar are currently experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity because of depleted food stocks and assets, and high dependence on markets where prices are increasing. In Androy (MG 24), food security is deteriorating due to the start of the lean season and is currently in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) with the exception of Beloha, where the situation is worst,  that is experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3!). Food insecurity is less severe in the Southeast (MG 19) and (MG 20), which remains in Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

  • Almost all assistance in the South ended in August, with the exception of Beloha where the food insecurity situation is the most severe. Currently, CRS is providing food assistance to 80 percent of the population in two communes of Beloha and 3 communes of Tsihombe. WFP also expects to start activities in 6 other communes of Beloha.

About FEWS NET

La Red de Sistemas de Alerta Temprana contra la Hambruna es un proveedor de primera línea de alertas tempranas y análisis sobre la inseguridad alimentaria. Creada por la USAID en 1985 con el fin de ayudar a los responsables de tomar decisiones a prever crisis humanitarias, FEWS NET proporciona análisis asentados en evidencia sobre unos 35 países. Entre los integrantes del equipo ejecutor figuran la NASA, NOAA, USDA y el USGS, así como Chemonics International Inc. y Kimetrica. Lea más sobre nuestro trabajo.

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