Key Message Update

Recession harvest expected to drive food security improvement as lean season nears end

Enero 2023

Enero 2023

Febrero - Mayo 2023

CIF v3.1 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF v3.1 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF v3.1 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

CIF v3.1 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

Mensajes clave

  • The peak of the lean season is ongoing in much of Angola, and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected among populations of highest concern in the southwest of the country. Nationally, food security is improving slightly with the harvest of horticulture crops from the recession (nacas) season. Harvesting has started in north and central provinces, improving food availability among poor households who rely on this season for over a quarter of their food supply. The harvest is also increasing supply in the main markets in these provinces. However, recession season crops are largely not anticipated in the southwest and improvement to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) is only likely in this area once the cereal harvest is available around June/July.

  • Between October and mid-January, the first half of the main rainy season, northern and central areas of the country have received between 400 and 500 mm of rainfall, while southern areas have received around 25 to 250 mm of rainfall. While this is lower than average in most areas, the deficits are relatively small, on the order of 5-15 percent below normal. In southwestern areas, rainfall totals are above the same time last year. According to the Ministry of Agriculture, the area planted is expected to be 30 percent higher than the 2021/2022 agricultural season, though this will be driven by higher planting in northern and central areas while southern areas will likely release somewhat lower than normal production due to the lingering impact of past droughts.

  • Over the past month, inflation declined slightly from 15 percent to 14 percent, and the exchange rate declined slightly from 504 AOA/USD to 503 AOA/USD. In 2022, there was a strong deceleration in the inflation level, with the inflation rate at the end of the year reaching the lowest values of the last five years: 14 percent against 27 percent at the end of 2021. This is driven by the appreciation of the national currency and the increase and regularity in the supply of food through the Strategic Food Reserve (REA).

  • Food inflation has also decreased, increasing 11 percent year-on-year relative to 13 percent last month. Though declining, food inflation is still 23 percent above average and negatively affecting poor households’ purchasing power. A decline in livestock prices compared to average has also contributed to lower livestock-to-cereal terms of trade. Key informant information suggests that some areas of the southwest continue to see increases in admissions for therapeutic feeding relative to normal, which may indicate continued impact of below-average food access.

About FEWS NET

La Red de Sistemas de Alerta Temprana contra la Hambruna es un proveedor de primera línea de alertas tempranas y análisis sobre la inseguridad alimentaria. Creada por la USAID en 1985 con el fin de ayudar a los responsables de tomar decisiones a prever crisis humanitarias, FEWS NET proporciona análisis asentados en evidencia sobre unos 35 países. Entre los integrantes del equipo ejecutor figuran la NASA, NOAA, USDA y el USGS, así como Chemonics International Inc. y Kimetrica. Lea más sobre nuestro trabajo.

  • USAID Logo
  • USGS Logo
  • USDA Logo
  • NASA Logo
  • NOAA Logo
  • Kilometra Logo
  • Chemonics Logo