Perspectiva de seguridad alimentaria

Further deterioration of food security outcomes expected

Abril 2015
2015-Q2-1-1-YE-en

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Sin mapa
Se estima que seria al menos una fase peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
La manera de clasificación que utiliza FEWS NET es compatible con la CIF. Un análisisque es compatible con la CIF sigue los protocolos fundamentales de CIF pero nonecesariamente refleja el consenso de los socios nacionales en materia de seguridad alimentaria.
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

CIF 2.0 Fase de Insegurida d Alimentaria Aguda

Países presenciales:
1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3: Crisis
4: Emergencia
5: Hambruna
Países de monitoreo remoto:
1: Mínima
2: Acentuada
3+: Crisis o peor
Se estima que seria al menos una fase
peor sin ayuda humanitaria actual o programada
Sin mapa
Para los países de Monitoreo Remoto, FEWS NET utiliza un contorno de color en el mapa CIF que representa la clasificación más alta de CIF en las áreas de preocupación.

Mensajes clave

  • Conflict continues to escalate throughout most of the country, with continued Al Houthi advances and coalition airstrikes led by Saudi Arabia, which began on March 26th. The ongoing conflict is driving several factors leading to deteriorating food security outcomes, including increased food and fuel prices, disruptions to normal income sources including public sector salaries, remittances, social payments, and agricultural labor, and disruptions to normal imports of staple foods.

  • Both diesel and petrol are in short supply across the country, as domestic refineries are not operating and imports are disrupted. Although the official rate for both fuels remains unchanged at YER 150/liter, reports during the second half of April indicate that the cost to consumers of available fuel is much higher, ranging from YER 400/liter to as much as YER 2,500/liter. The shortages and high cost of fuel has broad implications, including upward pressure on food prices, decreased availability of water for both consumption and for agricultural use, and disruptions to electricity. Fuel shortages are also limiting the delivery of emergency humanitarian assistance, including food distributions.

  • Prices of staple foods have increased rapidly across the country, with limited availability in some markets. In mid-April, prices for wheat flour were up by nearly 60 percent in some markets as compared to early March. Rice prices also experienced significant rises in some markets, up to 35 percent above March prices.

  • Remittances from abroad are an important source of income for roughly 2 million households. The ongoing conflict, particularly in Aden, has prevented some remittance-dependent households from receiving transfers. Further disruptions to services used for remittance transfers could impact households in additional governorates.

  • Although changes in the intensity of the conflict would have implications for the severity of food insecurity, the continued impact of current shocks is likely to cause deteriorating outcomes throughout much of the country in the coming months. Most areas of the country are expected to be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), while Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are likely in the most affected areas if conflict continues to drive food prices upward and disrupt normal sources of income.

Sobre El Desarrollo De Escenarios

Para proyectar los resultados de seguridad alimentaria en un período de seis meses, FEWS NET desarrolla una serie de supuestos sobre eventos probables, sus efectos, y las posibles respuestas de varios actores. FEWS NET analiza estos supuestos en el contexto de las condiciones actuales y los medios de vida locales para desarrollar escenarios estimando los productos de seguridad alimentaria. Típicamente, FEWS NET reporta el escenario más probable. Para conocer más, haga clic aqui.

About FEWS NET

La Red de Sistemas de Alerta Temprana contra la Hambruna es un proveedor de primera línea de alertas tempranas y análisis sobre la inseguridad alimentaria. Creada por la USAID en 1985 con el fin de ayudar a los responsables de tomar decisiones a prever crisis humanitarias, FEWS NET proporciona análisis asentados en evidencia sobre unos 35 países. Entre los integrantes del equipo ejecutor figuran la NASA, NOAA, USDA y el USGS, así como Chemonics International Inc. y Kimetrica. Lea más sobre nuestro trabajo.

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