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Delayed planting in Karamoja likely to extend Crisis (IPC Phase 3) through July

  • Key Message Update
  • Uganda
  • May 2016
Delayed planting in Karamoja likely to extend Crisis (IPC Phase 3) through July

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • In Serere District in eastern Uganda, atypically heavy rainfall in May resulted in isolated waterlogging, causing damage to sorghum and maize fields. However, rainfall for the remainder of the season is forecast to be average and significant crop failure is not expected. Throughout other bimodal areas, near average harvests are expected in June/July, supporting Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity. 

    • In Karamoja, despite increased rainfall in April, distribution was erratic and many households delayed planting short-cycle crops until May. As a result, green harvests will arrive late, in August, and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) is expected to persist in Moroto and Kaabong through July. If an atypically long dry spell occurs in June, newly-planted crops are likely to fail and an increased number of households will face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity.

    • Karamoja continues to receive staple food supplies from bimodal areas, where favorable 2015 rainfall driven by El Niño supported an above-average harvest. Between March and April, retail prices of sorghum and maize remained largely stable while charcoal/firewood prices and casual labor wages increased, improving household purchasing capacity. Firewood-to-sorghum terms of trade (TOT) improved by 30 to 70 percent and labor-to-sorghum TOT increased by 20 to 40 percent. 

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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