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Refugee arrivals from DRC into Uganda continue to increase

  • Key Message Update
  • Uganda
  • January 2018
Refugee arrivals from DRC into Uganda continue to increase

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • In bimodal areas of Uganda, the November to January second season harvest is complete and average production has supported seasonal declines of staple food prices. In December, the prices of local staple cereals across key markets were well below the same time last year and near the five-year average. Food availability and access are expected to remain normal in most areas throughout the projection period, and Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes will likely continue. 

    • In the cattle corridor districts of Nakasongola, Nakaseke, Kiboga, Mubende, Moroto, and Kotido, natural water resources have been exhausted earlier than normal due to below-average rainfall at the end of the rainy season and current above-average temperatures.  As a result, livestock body conditions are expected to be slightly poorer than normal through the remainder of the dry season, though milk production is still expected to be average. 

    • In Karamoja, food stocks among poor households are seasonally declining and households’ reliance on markets is increasing. However, household purchasing power, as measured by charcoal-to-sorghum terms of trade, is approximately 60 percent below average. Although normal market supplies are expected throughout the projection period, household food access will likely remain below average. Stressed (IPC Phase 2) conditions are expected, although some poor households in parts of Napak, Moroto, and Nakapiripirit will be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). 

    • The arrival rate of South Sudanese refugees has further declined in December, to approximately 100 refugees per day. Conversely, the number of people seeking refuge from the DRC has increased: 11,435 Congolese have sought refuge in Uganda between December 1 and January 23, roughly 211 people per day. Despite this increase, total refugee numbers are within the 2018 Refugee Response Plan’s projections. Nearly 50 percent of 2018 funding requirements have been met and newly-arrived refugees are expected to continue receiving a full ration through at least April 2018, and the majority will likely be Stressed (IPC Phase 2!). 

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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