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A climate trend analysis of Uganda

  • Climate Change
  • Uganda
  • June 2012
A climate trend analysis of Uganda

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  • Key Messages
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    Key Messages
    • Both spring and summer rains have decreased in Uganda during the past 25 years. 

    • The magnitude of observed warming, especially since the early 1980s, is large and unprecedented within the past 110 years, representing a large (2+ standard deviations) change from the climatic norm. 

    • Cropping regions in the west and northwest appear most affected by the observed changes in climate. 

    • Rainfall declines in the west and northwest threaten Uganda’s future food production prospects.

    • Warming temperatures may be adversely affecting coffee production.

    • Rapid population growth and the expansion of farming and pastoralism under a drier and warmer climate regime could dramatically increase the number of at risk people in Uganda during the next 20 years. 

    • In many cases, areas with changing climate are coincident with zones of substantial conflict, indicating some degree of association; however, the contribution of climate change to these conflicts is not currently understood.

    Periodically, FEWS NET publishes products related to the impact of the changing climate on food security. They include thematic reports, research papers, and scholarly articles ranging from such topics as rising sea surface temperatures to new rainfall patterns to water availability.

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