Uganda

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Food Security Outlook Update
August 2023
Food insecurity remains high following below-average harvest in northern Uganda
  • In bimodal areas, cumulative rainfall during the dry period of July and August has been below average, causing delays in second season land preparation and planting, particularly in the greater north and Teso sub-region. This follows an erratic and below-average first rainy season from March to June, which resulted in slightly below-average national production. While the harvests led to marginal improvements in food access, many poor households in the greater north remain atypically food insecure for the post-harvest period due to high staple prices and minimal crop sales income. In the greater north and Teso sub-region, area-level Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected to persist until the start of the second season harvest. In other bimodal areas, near-average harvests are anticipated to sustain Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes throughout the projection period.
  • Climate forecasts suggest increasing confidence in a strong El Niño by late 2023, coinciding with the second rainy season in bimodal areas of Uganda. El Niño typically correlates with above-average rainfall in bimodal Uganda. Based on historical trends during El Niño years, the onset of the September to December rains will most likely be timely. The above-average rainfall is expected to support above-average crop production and improved livestock productivity. This is expected to increase income-earning opportunities for poor households— including agricultural labor and income from crop sales— which is anticipated to increase financial access to food. However, in the flood-prone mountainous areas of Elgon, Kabale, Kisoro, and Rwenzori, the above-average rainfall is anticipated to cause mudslides, flash floods, and waterlogging of crops. 
  • In Karamoja, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are anticipated to persist through January 2024 due to the delayed and likely below-average green and dry harvests, marking the fourth consecutive poor harvest. While the minimal harvests have resulted in slight seasonal declines in market prices of sorghum, the limited access to income-earning opportunities and sustained low purchasing power continue to drive limited access to food. As own-produced food stocks are anticipated to exhaust by December 2023, most households are anticipated to be purchase-reliant for food atypically early. Own-produced food stocks are anticipated to exhaust by December 2023.
  • Refugees living in settlements are likely facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes as they continue to face limited access to income-earning opportunities, high market prices, and poor financial access to food. Below-average first season crop production in refugee settlements due to limited plot sizes and seed and tools access has resulted in the early exhaustion of harvests, sustaining food consumption gaps. Atypically low food access post-harvest and high disease prevalence, amid overstretched humanitarian services, have resulted in an increased prevalence of acute malnutrition among refugees. From January to June, admissions of children under five with complicated severe acute malnutrition increased 41 percent. With the implementation of the needs-based reprioritization of humanitarian food assistance in July, most refugees in settlements are now receiving rations equivalent to roughly 30 percent of their daily caloric requirements per person. 
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Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Flooding spreads into southeastern Africa, while parts of southern Africa remain abnormally dry Global February 17, 2023 - February 23, 2023
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Markets & Trade
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Alerts / Special Reports
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Food Security
Key Message Update Delayed harvest in Karamoja prolongs lean season, sustaining Crisis (IPC Phase 3) Uganda July 2023
Food Security Outlook Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes projected among refugees amid assistance cuts Uganda June 2023 - January 2024
Key Message Update Below-average rainfall continues to threaten production prospects in Uganda Uganda May 2023
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Flooding spreads into southeastern Africa, while parts of southern Africa remain abnormally dry Global February 17, 2023 - February 23, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Markets & Trade
Price Bulletin Uganda Price Bulletin Uganda August 2023
Price Bulletin Uganda Price Bulletin Uganda July 2023
Price Bulletin Uganda Price Bulletin Uganda June 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
No reports available.
Food Security Classification Data View all Uganda classification data
Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification (August 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (August 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile August 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification August 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification (July 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (July 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile July 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification July 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: July 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: July 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification (June 2023 - January 2024)

Current (June 2023) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (June 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile June 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Uganda Acute Food Insecurity Classification June 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: June 2023 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: June 2023 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Seasonal Calendar Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Uganda Seasonal Calendar
Production and Trade Flow Maps Production and Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Sorghum, Normal Year Cattle, Normal Year Millet, Normal Year Beans, Normal Year Cassava, Normal Year Banana, Normal Year Maize, Normal Year Maize, Season 1 Maize, Season 2 Banana, Normal Year Beans, Season 1 Beans, Season 2
Remote Sensing Imagery Remote Sensing Imagery

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all remote sensing imagery
Livelihood Zone Resources Livelihood Zone Resources
Karamoja Livelihood Zone Descriptions, December 2013 Uganda Livelihoods Zones Descriptions, January 2010 Uganda Livelihood Zone Map
Uganda 2013 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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