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Northeast harvest below average but upcoming central Rift Valley harvest looks promising

  • Key Message Update
  • Tanzania
  • March 2016
Northeast harvest below average but upcoming central Rift Valley harvest looks promising

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Near average rainfall forecasts until April will allow for a likely normal Msimu harvest throughout much of the Central Rift Valley despite earlier planting delays. Poor households lack income opportunities for needed food purchases due to a lack of demand for agricultural labor or other income-generating activities. However, the beginning of the April harvest will increase food supplies for households, likely improving food security outcomes from Stressed (IPC Phase 2) to Minimal (IPC Phase 1). 

    • In northeastern Tanzania, Masika rains began on time and near average rainfall levels are projected through May, but there could be poor distribution due to El Niño. Maize and bean prices have only marginally decreased or stabilized following the Vuli harvest, which was below the five-year average. Households will remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2) as they rely on markets for food purchases.

    • With continuing arrivals of Burundian refugees in March, 196,498 refugees and asylum-seekers in Kigoma region rely on WFP food distributions, according to WFP. Slightly less than half were reported to have planted seasonal crops, and many also planted beans in March. In the presence of humanitarian assistance planned through June, the food security outcomes will remain in Minimal (IPC Phase 1!). However, new arrivals are facing worse conditions. 

    For more detailed analysis, see the Remote Monitoring Update for February – September 2016.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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