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Harvests and export ban increase domestic food supply, improving household food access

  • Key Message Update
  • Tanzania
  • July 2017
Harvests and export ban increase domestic food supply, improving household food access

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Near-average national staple food production is expected to improve food security across Tanzania. Although Msika production in central and northern bimodal areas is likely to be below average, average Msimu harvests in southern surplus-producing regions is expected to lower staple food prices. Food access will improve among poor households in all regions due to lower prices, and Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes are expected, although some poor households in northern and central areas will likely remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2).  

    • Staple food prices declined by approximately 10 percent between June and July in most key markets, attributed to increased household and market supplies from the ongoing Msimu and Msika harvests. Additionally, the export ban instituted by the Tanzanian Government in June has led to higher domestic supply, further supporting price declines. While the ban will improve household food access, it is likely to act as a disincentive to future production among southern surplus-producing households who are receiving lower prices than they would in the absence of the ban. Prices throughout much of the region are expected to remain above average due to reduced exports from Tanzania.

    • Food security is expected to deteriorate among refugees in the absence of additional funding for humanitarian assistance. Maize meal rations were cut to 70 percent in July, from 80 percent in June. WFP’s funding shortfall for May to October is $23.6 million, and a pipeline break is anticipated in August. According to the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees, Tanzania is hosting 313,000 refugees as of June 25, 250,612 of whom are from Burundi. In the absence of assistance, food security among refugees is likely to deteriorate from Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) to Crisis (IPC Phase 3). 

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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