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Below-average rain fell in much of South Sudan during the first dekad of June

  • Seasonal Monitor
  • South Sudan
  • June 14, 2014
Below-average rain fell in much of South Sudan during the first dekad of June

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  • Key Messages
  • Partners
    NOAA
    USGS
    Key Messages
    • Moderate rainfall continued across most of South Sudan during the first dekad of June. Central and northern areas of the country received between 10 to 50 millimeters (mm) of rain with heavier rains in the west and parts of the east. Rainfall was below-average in northern and central areas of the country, between 25 to 80 percent of normal. Drier than normal vegetation conditions persist in parts of the southeast.
    • Some planting began in Nyirol and Akobo counties in Jonglei in early June following recent humanitarian seed distributions. Households displaced in Minkaman settlement continue to return to their home villages to plant. Those who planted in April and early May, especially in southern parts of Bor, are currently weeding crops. Field reports indicate that IDPs from Duk and Twic East counties that remain displaced in Bor are making efforts to cultivate small pieces of land provided by relatives. In Fangak and Ayod, farmers have started land preparation and planting at the end of May, but displaced households are constrained by lack of tools for clearing new land in locations of displacement. In general, fear of insecurity is preventing farmers from cultivating land that is far from homesteads.
    • In northern counties of Unity State, especially Rubkona, Mayom, and north of Bentiu Town, insecurity has limited access to seeds for cultivation and continues to delay farming activities. High levels of insecurity have reportedly caused significant population movements from Bentiu to Sudan’s Heglig area, further limiting people’s capacity to cultivate.
    • Atypical dryness continues in parts of Eastern Equatoria, especially Kapoeta. Crops planted in April did not germinate. So far, animals have not returned from long distance dry season grazing areas, and they are unlikely to return within the next two months.
    • The Global Forecast System (GFS) precipitation forecast indicates moderate to heavy rains across most of South Sudan for the second dekad of June. Between 10 and 50 mm of rainfall are expected across most of the country. Heavier rains are forecast for the South and parts of Northwest. The slight reduction in rainfall over the past two weeks has helped relieve excess moisture in many areas following above-average rains in May. However, abnormal dryness may soon develop if insufficient rainfall persists.

          

    Figures Rainfall estimate (RFE2) in mm, June 1-10, 2014

    Figure 1

    Rainfall estimate (RFE2) in mm, June 1-10, 2014

    Source: NOAA

    Global Forecast System (GFS) rainfall forecast in mm for June 10-20, 2014

    Figure 2

    Global Forecast System (GFS) rainfall forecast in mm for June 10-20, 2014

    Source: NOAA Global Forecasting System/ Climate Prediction Center (CPC)

    FEWS NET’s Seasonal Monitor reports are produced for Central America and the Caribbean, West Africa, East Africa, Central Asia, and Somalia every 10-to-30 days during the region’s respective rainy season(s). Seasonal Monitors report updates on weather events (e.g., rainfall patterns) and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, pasture and water availability), as well as the short-term rainfall forecast. Find more remote sensing information here.

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