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Despite average rainfall, planting is delayed in some areas due to seed shortages

Despite average rainfall, planting is delayed in some areas due to seed shortages

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  • Key Messages
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    Key Messages
    • Moderate to heavy rains continued in most parts of South Sudan during the last dekad of May with the heaviest rains in the western part of the country. An estimated 50 to 100 millimeters (mm) of rain fell across most parts of the country. However, unlike previous weeks, rainfall was near-normal in most of South Sudan. Pockets in the south and central areas of the country received below-average rainfall.
    • Although the rainy season is well underway, planting remains limited by seed shortages in many areas, according to field reports. In Unity, land preparations were complete in Pariang but planting has not started due to lack of seeds. Lack of seed has also prevented planting in Mayom. Farmers have not engaged in agricultural activities in Rubkona due to insecurity.
    • In Jonglei, farmers planted in Bor County by mid-May and crops are currently in germination stages. Some IDPs/ returnees from Minkaman IDP settlement continue to prepare land for cultivation. In Pibor, planting is expected soon following recent seed distributions. In Fashoda, Upper Nile, some farmers started planting in mid-May. Planting is expected to begin in Melut, Renk, and Manyo following recent humanitarian seed interventions.
    • Farmers are preparing land and planting in most counties of Lakes State. However, inter-tribal clashes at the end of May, followed by cattle raiding by groups from Warrap State, interrupted cultivation in several counties including Cueibet, Rumbek North, Rumbek East and Rumbek Centre.
    • The Global Forecast System (GFS) precipitation forecast indicates moderate rains across most of South Sudan for the first dekad of June. Between 10 and 30 mm of rainfall are expected across most of the country. Heavy rains are forecast for the Northwest. Consistently low and infrequent seasonal rainfall is expected in the Southeast.
    • Long-term forecasts suggest normal to above-normal rains from June to September in the central and southwestern areas of the country and normal to below-normal rains in the North and East of the country. The Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum has identified 2009 as an analogue year for the current rainy season.

       

    Figures Rainfall estimate (RFE2) in mm, May 21-31, 2014 Rainfall estimate (RFE2) in mm, May 21-31, 2014

    Source : NOAA

    Global Forecast System Rainfall Forecast South Sudan May 31-June 6, 2014 GFS rainfall forecast in mm for May 31-June 6, 2014

    Source : NOAA

    FEWS NET’s Seasonal Monitor reports are produced for Central America and the Caribbean, West Africa, East Africa, Central Asia, and Somalia every 10-to-30 days during the region’s respective rainy season(s). Seasonal Monitors report updates on weather events (e.g., rainfall patterns) and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, pasture and water availability), as well as the short-term rainfall forecast. Find more remote sensing information here.

    Related Analysis Listing View all South Sudan Seasonal Monitors
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