Key Message Update

Emergency (IPC Phase 4) persists as insecurity disrupts assistance and trade flows

August 2017

July - September 2017

South Sudan July 2017 Food Security Projections for July to September

October 2017 - January 2018

South Sudan July 2017 Food Security Projections for October to January

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • A large-scale food security Emergency continues across South Sudan. Over half of the total population is in need of humanitarian assistance. Conflict continues to disrupt typical livelihood activities in all regions of the country, and already extremely poor macroeconomic conditions have further deteriorated, forcing staple food prices to climb above levels observed last year. 

  • In June, emergency food assistance was distributed to over 70,000 people in Leer and 52,000 people in Mayendit, although key informant information indicates that ongoing clashes disrupted the delivery of assistance to some displaced populations. Assistance is still expected to be sufficient to prevent more extreme outcomes and Crisis (IPC Phase 3!) persists in these counties. Assistance was not delivered in Koch in June and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes are likely in this county. 

  • An estimated 10,000 people on isolated islands of the White Nile River on the eastern border of central Unity and northwestern border of Jonglei remain of greatest concern. Recent field assessments verify that some island locations remain inaccessible to humanitarians and it is expected populations on these islands lack access to emergency assistance. It is feared outcomes may be worse among these populations and some households could be in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5). 

  • In Greater Equatoria, households who planted first-season crops currently have access to green harvests. Although conflict was lower in July than previous months, first season harvests are expected to be significantly below average in conflict-affected counties given that insecurity restricted normal planting. Furthermore, production prospects are now worse than previously expected in parts of Torit and Magwi of Eastern Equatoria and Juba of Central Equatoria, due to suspected Fall Armyworm infestation. 

  • In many areas of Greater Upper Nile and Greater Bahr el Ghazal, ongoing fighting is disrupting planting, trade flows, and assistance deliveries. In Gogrial of Warrap, active inter-communal fighting prompted the Government to declare a state of emergency in July. Trade along the Juba-Bor road increased slightly in July compared to June, but inter-tribal clashes and ambushes continue to limit the number of traders operating on this route. Insecurity has also recently disrupted the delivery of assistance to Bor South, Pibor, and Pochalla, and caused the evacuation of some aid workers from Pibor in mid-July. Similarly, in Upper Nile, armed clashes between Government and opposition forces in early July in Longochuk and Maiwut forced the relocation of 25 aid workers and caused an estimated 7,000 people from Longochuk and Maiwut to flee to Ethiopia. 

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics