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High levels of need continue across Yemen, Ethiopia, South Sudan, and Sudan

  • Key Message Update
  • East Africa
  • August 2016
High levels of need continue across Yemen, Ethiopia, South Sudan, and Sudan

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Households in large areas of South Sudan face severe constraints in food access, exacerbated by renewed fighting in July.  Food prices in some areas more than doubled between June and July. Large areas of Greater Upper Nile and Greater Bahr el Ghazal face Emergency (IPC Phase 4) outcomes, and it is expected that a smaller proportion of households in Northern Bahr el Ghazal face an extreme lack of food and are in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5).

    • Although food security data is limited in Yemen, FEWS NET estimates that approximately seven to ten million people currently face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity. IDP populations across the country are likely facing some of the most severe food security outcomes. Across the western half of the country in particular, food consumption gaps, elevated levels of acute malnutrition, and/or excess mortality are likely.

    • Below average 2015 agricultural and pastoral production and protracted conflict is contributing to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse outcomes for many in Sudan. Good rains during the main season in summer 2016 are expected contribute to better production prospects this year, and food security is expected to improve with the coming harvest for those whose livelihoods are not severely constrained by conflict.

    • Many areas of Ethiopia worst-affected by the 2015 El Niño-induced drought will continue to experience Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes through at least September as households continue to face significant difficulty meeting their basic food needs. Southern pastoral and agropastoral areas of Ethiopia risk experiencing below-average rainfall in the last quarter of 2016 given the high likelihood of La Niña. This would likely lead to an earlier and worse than normal deterioration of livestock body conditions and livestock productivity.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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