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Long rains harvest in Rift Valley now likely below-average due to dry spell in May/June

  • Key Message Update
  • Kenya
  • July 2016
Long rains harvest in Rift Valley now likely below-average due to dry spell in May/June

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • A lengthy dry spell in May and June negatively affected crop development in the high and medium potential areas, causing moisture stress and wilting. The resumption of rains in late June resulted in the recovery of most crops, whose development is progressing well. Nevertheless, expectations have changed, and now the long rains maize harvest, which represents about 70 percent of annual production for Kenya, is likely to be below average. FEWS NET will continue to monitor the situation.

    • Due to the below-average long rains, the lean season began a month earlier than normal in July in the northeastern pastoral areas. Food security is seasonally deteriorating, especially in Garissa and Tana River Counties, as livestock prices and livestock-to-cereals terms of trade decline and staple food prices are rising. Rangeland conditions in most areas are below normal levels and continue to deteriorate. Some households in June already migrated their livestock to dry season grazing areas when they usually hold off until August. The majority of households are able to afford essential food needs but not nonfood needs, and remain Stressed (IPC Phase 2).

    • In the coastal marginal agricultural areas, food security also continues to worsen faster than normal, following two consecutive below-average rainy seasons. As a result, most households are atypically depending on markets for food but face lowered incomes. While the majority of households are still able to meet both food and non-food needs and remain in None (IPC Phase 1), some localized households have moved to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) due to less agricultural-earning opportunities and lowered crop sales due to crop failure, especially in some parts of Kilifi County.  

    For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for June 2016 – January 2017.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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