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Key messages
Food Security Outlook June 2026 - January 2027 Pastoral areas to remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), recovery hinges on short rains Download report Read full report
  • FEWS NET estimates that 3.0-3.49 million people will be in need of humanitarian food assistance between June-January, with needs expected to peak between September and October, during the typical height of the lean season. The populations of highest concern remain refugees and those in the pastoral areas of Mandera, Garissa, Wajir, Marsabit, and Turkana. 
  • Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) outcomes will persist in Dadaab, Kakuma and Kalobeyei refugee camps through January, with humanitarian food assistance preventing worse outcomes. Negligible own production and restrictive employment policies which limit work opportunities continue to constrain households’ food access, sustaining high reliance on food assistance. However, there is a credible alternative scenario in which funding does not materialize after September, and outcomes deteriorate to Emergency (IPC Phase 4). 
  • Across pastoral regions, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are expected to persist through September, driven by constrained incomes and elevated food prices that continue to limit food access and sustain consumption gaps. Conditions are expected to improve to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) between October and January, as anticipated above-average short rains enhance livestock productivity and improve household food access. However, in Mandera, the region worst affected by the failure of the 2025 short rains, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are likely to persist through January.  
  • Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected to continue across the marginal agricultural areas through January. Food stocks from the long rains production will support household food availability from June through late August to early September. From October-November, agricultural labor during the short rains will provide income to households, ahead of the green harvests anticipated in December and early dry harvests in January. Although households will be able to meet their essential food needs, they will continue to engage in stress-coping strategies to meet non-food needs. 

The analysis in this report is based on information available as of June 30, 2026.  

More analysis reports View all Kenya food security analysis reports
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Alerts / special reports
Alert East Africa December 23, 2025
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Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Monthly analysis
Key Message Update Kenya May - September 2026
Food Security Outlook Update Kenya April - September 2026
Key Message Update Kenya March - September 2026
Alerts / special reports
Alert East Africa December 23, 2025
Alert East Africa December 16, 2025
Special Report Global June 23, 2025
Explore food security analysis data
Description

The FEWS NET Data Explorer hosts the widest range of FEWS NET data for download or extract via API. The Data Explorer requires a free user account for access.

FEWS NET–style food security map of East Africa showing crisis severity by color, with conflict icons and alerts across Somalia, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Kenya.
Acute Food Insecurity Area-Level Classifications

FEWS NET produces IPC-compatible area-level acute food insecurity classifications monthly for FEWS NET reporting countries. This data is available as spatial files, tabular files, and map images. It is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our Food Security Outlooks and Outlook Updates (FSO/U) and Key Message Updates (KMU).

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Map of East Africa with large colored circles over Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and South Sudan indicating comparative regional metrics; capitals labeled.
Acutely Food Insecure Population Estimates

These estimates reflect the total population estimated to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) or worse acute food insecurity outcomes, including those who are receiving humanitarian food assistance and those who are not. This tabular data is a key output of FEWS NET integrated food security analysis and is reported in our FSOs, global Food Assistance Outlook Briefs (FAOB), and semi-annual global Peak Food Assistance Needs Outlook Briefs.

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Markets and trade resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s market price data and analysis, plus trade flow maps.

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Monthly Global Price Watch reports

This report provides the latest outlook on global, regional, and national market trends of key commodity prices in FEWS NET reporting countries and also analyzes the various drivers influencing these trends.

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Production and Trade Flow Maps

These maps display the geography of market systems and trade flow patterns for key products, including their key market towns and cross-border trade points.

View Kenya Production and Trade Flow Maps
Price data

Price data is available for a large number of countries and products around the world. This data can be used to track the change in price of commodities, food staples, agricultural inputs, and other products over time and is a key input to FEWS NET food security analysis and Global Price Watch reports.

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Agroclimatology resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s remote sensing data and analysis of weather conditions.

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Weekly Global Weather Hazards reports

This report provides a global outlook on anticipated severe weather events, including maps with current weather information, short and medium range weather forecasts (up to one week), and the potential impact on crop and pasture conditions.

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Seasonal Monitor reports

This report provides regional updates on weather events, rainfall patterns, and associated impacts on ground conditions (e.g., cropping conditions, water availability) during a given geography’s rainy season, along with a short-term rainfall forecast.

View East Africa Seasonal Monitor reports
Agroclimatology data

FEWS NET and its partners offer a range of online tools that share insights on rainfall, temperature, vegetation, soil moisture, and surface water conditions derived from remote sensing data collection and modeling.

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Livelihoods resources
Description

Access FEWS NET’s maps, reports, and data on local livelihood systems.

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Kenya 2011 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
Livelihood Zone maps

Zone Maps illustrate the country by zone, showing areas where people generally have the same options for obtaining food and income and engaging in trade.

View latest Kenya Livelihood Zone Map
Livelihood Zone Descriptions

Zone Descriptions accompany a Zone Map, briefly describing the main characteristics of the livelihood patterns in that zone. The maps and descriptions are useful in informing the development of monitoring systems.

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Seasonal Calendar
Description

These calendars illustrate the monthly availability of key food and income sources, plus the starts and ends to key rainy and lean seasons. They supplement livelihoods resources and are integral to FEWS NET’s food security analysis.

View and download the Kenya Seasonal Calendar
Seasonal Calendar image showing harvest and rainy periods for Kenya
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