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Food Security Outlook Update
August 2023
Drought recovery continues but high food prices impact household food access
  • In the pastoral areas, area-level Crisis! (IPC Phase 3!) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are ongoing as households continue to recover from the historic drought, supported by ongoing humanitarian assistance to fill food consumption gaps. The return of the migrated herds is improving household milk access following the significant recharge of forage and water during the March to May long rains. Livestock are slowly turning to normal productivity, but herd sizes remain below the long-term average. Pastoral households are limiting livestock sales to recover their herds, driving high livestock prices. However, high staple food prices and below-average income-earning opportunities continue to constrain household food access. From October to January, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) and Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected as households continue to recover with the return of normal milk production with the birth of calves and kids conceived during the short rains, increased consumption of milk, and a decline in staple food prices with the long rains harvest. 
  • Poor temporal rainfall distribution resulted in below-average crop production in the southeastern marginal agricultural livelihood zones. Household food stocks are expected to last until late August to early September compared to December normally, likely driving atypically high market dependency for food through January 2024. In the coastal marginal agricultural livelihood zones, crop production is expected to be above average, following good rainfall distribution through July, improving household food access. From October to January, widespread Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes are expected as the forecast above-average rainfall due to El Niño supports planting for the October to December short rains agricultural season, improving household access to agricultural labor and income, with a likely above-average harvest of short-cycle crops in December and January improving household access to food and income from crop sales. 
  • Climate forecasts suggest increasing confidence in a strong El Niño by late 2023. El Niño typically correlates with above-average rainfall in the pastoral and marginal agricultural areas of Kenya. Based on historical trends during El Niño years, the onset of the October and December short rains will most likely be timely. The above-average rainfall will most likely support rangeland resources and increase planted area, improving income-earning among poor pastoral households and poor households relying on agricultural labor opportunities and income from crop sales. However, there is a risk that above-average rainfall will lead to incidences of Rift Valley Fever among livestock and livestock loss and crop damage from flash floods.
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Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Flooding spreads into southeastern Africa, while parts of southern Africa remain abnormally dry Global February 17, 2023 - February 23, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
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Alerts / Special Reports
No reports available.
Food Security
Key Message Update High staple prices keep household purchasing power lower than normal Kenya July 2023
Food Security Outlook As Kenya recovers from historic drought, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes persist Kenya June 2023 - January 2024
Key Message Update High fuel and food prices are limiting household purchasing power Kenya May 2023
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Flooding spreads into southeastern Africa, while parts of southern Africa remain abnormally dry Global February 17, 2023 - February 23, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Markets & Trade
Price Bulletin Kenya Price Bulletin Kenya August 2023
Price Bulletin Kenya Price Bulletin Kenya July 2023
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Alerts / Special Reports
No reports available.
Food Security Classification Data View all Kenya classification data
Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification (August 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (August 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile August 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification August 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification (July 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (July 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile July 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification July 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: July 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: July 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification (June 2023 - January 2024)

Current (June 2023) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (June 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile June 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Kenya Acute Food Insecurity Classification June 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: June 2023 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: June 2023 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Seasonal Calendar Seasonal Calendar

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.
Kenya Seasonal Calendar
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Beans, Season 1 Beans, Season 2 Maize, Season 1 Maize, Season 2
Remote Sensing Imagery Remote Sensing Imagery

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

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Livelihood Zone Resources Livelihood Zone Resources
Kenya Livelihood Zone Descriptions, March 2011 Kenya Livelihood Zones Map
Kenya 2011 Livelihood Zones Map (.PNG)
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