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Increased, sustained assistance needed to mitigate large food consumption gaps in Somali Region

  • Key Message Update
  • Ethiopia
  • September 2017
Increased, sustained assistance needed to mitigate large food consumption gaps in Somali Region

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Humanitarian assistance remains delayed in parts of Somali Region in September. At present, needs are likely greater than current humanitarian assistance programming. A sustained increase in humanitarian assistance is needed in order to prevent food consumption gaps from widening and to prevent households from moving into Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5).   

    • Based on recent model forecasts and an increased likelihood of La Niña development during late 2017, October to December 2017 Deyr rainfall is likely to be below average in southeastern Ethiopia. Following two consecutively very poor seasons, a poor Deyr 2017 season could lead to even further reductions in food access for many households, and drive further deteriorations in food security. 

    • In most high-producing areas of Ethiopia, Kiremt seasonal rainfall has been favorable for crop. However, infestations of Fall Armyworm (FAW) in western areas, as well as dry spells in some eastern and southern areas of the country may lead to below-average Meher production in some areas.

    • Parts of Amhara, Tigray, northeastern SNNPR, and eastern Oromia are expected to remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) until Meher harvests begin in October. However, Meher harvests, coupled with seasonal increases in labor income from cereal and cash crop harvests, should drive improvements in household food access and acute food insecurity outcomes to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) or Stressed (IPC Phase 2) levels between October 2017 and January 2018. 

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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