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Emergency continues in central and northeastern Ethiopia

  • Key Message Update
  • Ethiopia
  • March 2016
Emergency continues in central and northeastern Ethiopia

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  • Key Messages
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    Key Messages
    • El Niño-related drought in 2015 significantly impacted Belg and Meher harvests across much of central and eastern Ethiopia, and contributed to very low levels of pasture regeneration in northern pastoral areas. More than 10 million people are in need of emergency food assistance in 2016 as a result of subsequent impacts to food availability and access.

    • In drought-affected Afar Region and Northern Somali Region, the March to May Sugum/Dirra rains are below average, limiting pasture regeneration, improvements in livestock body conditions, and associated access to food and income. Most households are relying on humanitarian assistance as the main source of food. Southern Afar and Sitti Zone of Somali Region will remain in Emergency (IPC Phase 4) through September 2016. 

    • Area planted is below average in Amhara and eastern Oromia due to below-average rainfall and seed availability. Humanitarian assistance is ongoing in eastern Tigray, Amhara, and eastern/central Oromia Regions. However, depleted household stocks and low cash income from livestock and labor continue to significantly constrain food access. Severely affected areas of Waghimra zone in Amhara Region and lowlands in eastern Oromia remain in Emergency (IPC Phase 4), while most other areas will remain in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) through at least May 2016.

    • Forecasts for near-average Belg rainfall are likely to result in near-average crop production in lowland areas of the Rift Valley of SNNPR, with farmers continuing to plant until early April. Below-average labor income and above-average staple food prices, resulting from previous below-average harvests, are likely to result in a continuation of Crisis (IPC Phase 3) through June. Harvests in June/July should improve food security outcomes for poor households to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) from July through September 2016. 


      For more detailed analysis, see the Food Security Outlook for February 2016.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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