Remote Monitoring Report

Crisis (IPC Phase 3) likely through December, following impacts of successive poor seasons

September 2015
2015-Q3-1-1-DJ-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity is expected to persist through December for poor households in the Southeastern Pastoral Border and Obock pastoral areas. The July to September Karan/Karma rains were the third-consecutive below-average season, although late August rains eased some severe water shortages. Low milk availability, low livestock prices due to the poor body conditions, increased kerosene prices in Obock due to disrupted trade with Yemen, coupled with limited labor opportunities are likely to limit household food access during most of 2015. 

  • Approximately 120,000 people are in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3), though only 80,000 have access to humanitarian assistance. An influx of about 22,500 people from Yemen, including 10,400 refugees, have increased pressure on limited resources and constrained labor opportunities.

  • Near-average October to December Heys/Dadaa rains are anticipated, but significant improvements in rangeland conditions (water, pasture, and browse) and labor opportunities are unlikely before 2016. Reduced herd sizes as a result of increased sales, especially in Obock and the Southeastern Livelihood Zone, are likely to limit how quickly poor households’ food and income access will improve following three consecutively poor seasons.

     

    For more detailed analysis, see the August 2015 Djibouti Remote Monitoring Update

About Remote Monitoring

In remote monitoring, a coordinator typically works from a nearby regional office. Relying on partners for data, the coordinator uses scenario development to conduct analysis and produce monthly reports. As less data may be available, remote monitoring reports may have less detail than those from countries with FEWS NET offices. Learn more about our work here.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on some 28 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica. Read more about our work.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics