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Crisis (IPC Phase 3) likely in Southeast, Northwest, and Obock pastoral areas

  • Remote Monitoring Report
  • Djibouti
  • January 2016
Crisis (IPC Phase 3) likely in Southeast, Northwest, and Obock pastoral areas

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Prolonged dry conditions, including late on-set and below-average Heys-/Dadaa rains (October – February), have negatively affected rangeland conditions in Southeast, Northwest, and Obock pastoral areas. The significant depletion of herd sizes from deaths and increased sales due to the prolonged drought, as well as scarcity of labor opportunities, is limiting access to food and income for poor households in these areas.

    • As of the end of December 2015, an estimated 31,500 refugees from Yemen had entered the country. In the short-term, this has increased demand for limited casual labor opportunities available to poor households in host communities. Furthermore, labor opportunities have been adversely impacted by the recent reduction in construction projects through the government’s infrastructure development initiatives, which had boosted access to labor in previous months.

    • It is likely that household food access will continue to be limited by low livestock prices and limited milk availability due to poor livestock body conditions, as well as limited labor opportunities and the increasing cost of essential goods, including a 200 percent increase in the price of kerosene in Obock area due to disrupted trade with Yemen. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity is expected to persist through at least March 2016 for poor households in Southeast, Northwest, and Obock pastoral areas.

    • Despite the poor start to the season, the remainder of the Heys/Dadaa rains through February are expected to be near-average, which will contribute to improvement of water and pasture availability in rangelands and a slight improvement in livestock body conditions and milk production.

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    Figure 1

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    In remote monitoring, a coordinator typically works from a nearby regional office. Relying on partners for data, the coordinator uses scenario development to conduct analysis and produce monthly reports. As less data may be available, remote monitoring reports may have less detail than those from countries with FEWS NET offices. Learn more about our work here.

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