Burundi
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Season A harvests are currently underway increasing food availability and access for poor households country-wide. Poor households will face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity from January to March.
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Staple food prices have stabilized due to increased supply to markets during harvests. However, food prices remain above-average in many areas. As households exhaust food stocks and become more market reliant during the February to May lean season, acute food security is expected to deteriorate to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) in the second quarter.
ZONE | CURRENT ANOMALIES | PROJECTED ANOMALIES |
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Countrywide |
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· Normal to above-normal rains are expected during the March to May 2015 main rainy season. Increased flood risks are expected in flood prone areas of Buragane, East Arid Plateaus, and Limbo Plain livelihood zones.
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- Season A harvests are currently underway and will continue until the end of February. Harvest prospects are favorable and production is expected to be average across most of the country due to normal to above-normal rainfall during the September to January minor rainy season. Season A harvests account for 35 percent of total annual production.
- Despite average production, pockets of food insecurity persist in parts of the Northeast, particularly in Kirundo, Cankuzo, Gitega, Muyinga and Rutana provinces of the Dépressions du Nord, Plateaux Secs de l’Est and Dépressions de l’Est livelihood zones. Drivers of food insecurity include above-average food prices due to limited carry-over stocks from the July to August Season B harvests.
- Staple food prices have either remained stable or declined across most of the country as harvests increase local market supply. In some markets, prices of some staple commodities declined by more than 15 percent from November to December. In Kirundo market, prices of both beans and sweet potatoes declined by roughly 24 percent. Banana and maize prices declined by about 23 and 16 percent, respectively, in Muyinga market. Other staple food prices largely remained stable in different markets across the country, in line with season trends during the harvest period.
- Average production contributed to overall price stabilization, but prices—particularly for maize and cassava—remain above the five-year average. In Kirundo, maize prices in December were 27 above average and cassava flour prices in Muyinga were 37 percent above average. These relatively high prices were due to Season B production deficits, particularly in northeastern livelihood zones. Prices are expected to increase further beginning in April as stocks from Season A harvest deplete. The pre-election period (first half of 2015) tension could also contribute to escalation of prices earlier than normal throughout the country.
- As poor households increase market reliance during the February to May minor lean season, above-average food prices will reduce access to food for poor households. Poor and very poor households are likely to decrease spending on essential non-food items in order to meet food requirements. These households are likely to face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) from April to June 2015.
Source : FEWS NET
In remote monitoring, a coordinator typically works from a nearby regional office. Relying on partners for data, the coordinator uses scenario development to conduct analysis and produce monthly reports. As less data may be available, remote monitoring reports may have less detail than those from countries with FEWS NET offices. Learn more about our work here.