Burundi
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- Season A harvests (December-February), which are 35 percent of annual production, are expected to be below average in the Plateaux Humides zone (Ngozi, Kayanza, Muramvya, Mwaro, and Gitega), as well as Bugendana and Bweru districts, due to sporadic rainfall during the September-January “small rains.” At a national level, Season A harvests are expected to be near average.
- At this point in the season, most households have replenished food stocks due to the ongoing harvest, and have Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity.
- Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food insecurity is expected in some areas during the March to May 2014 period, due to the localized Season A shortfalls. In addition, there are fewer opportunities for some poor landless households to migrate to Tanzania for work as they typically do during February-March, given the expulsion of Burundians from Tanzania in August and September 2013.
- More returnees are expected this year, according to the tripartite agreement between the Burundian government, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), and Uganda.
| Zone | Current Anomalies | Projected Anomalies |
|---|---|---|
National | Bean prices in January are still higher than the five year average by 10-20 percent in different markets across the country. Prices of sweet potato are atypically high by approximately 80 percent. | Bean prices are expected to stabilize through March following harvests, but will likely resume increasing thereafter till harvests in June. Sweet potato prices are expected to remain high unless other substitute staples become less expensive, which is unlikely. |
Household-level food stocks are seasonally improving as a result of ongoing harvests countrywide. However, heavy rainfall during the September to January “small rains” damaged crops in the Plateaux Humides zone (Ngozi, Kayanza, Muramvya, Mwaro, and Gitega), as well as Bugendana and Bweru districts. In addition, plant diseases (banana xanthomonas wilt, cassava mosaic, and cassava brown streak) are still visible across the country. These factors are likely to result in earlier depletion of household stocks in March, which normally happens three months following harvests. Moreover, market supply is likely to be lowered, therefore rising prices while labor opportunities and wages are expected to remain stable. At the same time, recent consecutive poor harvests have resulted in increased food prices.
More returnees are expected this year according to the tripartite agreement between the Burundian government, the United Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR), and Uganda.
Most households in the country face Minimal acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 1), though poor households in the Plateaux Humides zone are likely to face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) levels from March to May as poor season A performance may result in reduced quantity of food available through June 2014.
Source : FEWS NET
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