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Food Security Outlook Update
August 2023
High food and fuel prices likely to drive Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes in east
  • The Eastern and Northern Lowlands and the Eastern Dry Plateaus livelihood zones are anticipated to face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) levels of acute food insecurity from August to September. This is attributed to a decline in food stocks from the 2023 Season B harvest, an increase in food prices, and restricted cross-border activities with Tanzania and Rwanda. Notably, the Northern Lowlands livelihood zone, with labor wages 65 percent below the national average, is particularly susceptible to abnormal food price hikes. This zone is expected to face Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes during the lean period from October to December 2023. However, more typical access to food and income is likely to sustain Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity outcomes in the central and western regions of the country until January 2024.

  • The 2023 Season B harvest played a role in stabilizing prices; however, prices remained significantly high, ranging from 50 to 75 percent above the five-year average and 30 to 80 percent above the previous year’s prices. This surge in food prices is attributed to regional inflation, elevated costs of agricultural inputs, and increased expenses for fuel and food transportation. Notably, in early August, significant price hikes were observed in several essential commodities that are regulated by the government. For instance, there was a 32 percent increase in sugar prices, a 25 to 50 percent rise in prices of processed products, and a 30 percent increase in the price of cement.

  • During the Season A period from August/September to January, rainfall patterns are expected to deviate from the norm. From August to September, rainfall is anticipated to be below average. However, as the season advances, rainfall is likely to become above average, particularly during the peak of robust El Niño events between October and December. This shift in rainfall is likely to bring about flooding in the Imbo Plains livelihood zone and along the main rivers situated in the central and eastern parts of the country.

  • According to WFP, funding shortfalls resulted in around 56,000 refugees and asylum seekers receiving in July 70 percent of their usual food ration. These households are expected to face Stressed! (IPC Phase 2!) outcomes, with the assistance, covering just over 70 percent of their monthly caloric requirements, preventing worse food insecurity outcomes. Approximately 1,800 individuals who have returned to their home have been provided with a complete ration, including hot meals during their stay in transit centers and a three-month package for their reintegration. Additionally, humanitarian support has been provided to over 9,000 individuals who have been affected by climatic disruptions in the Imbo Plains and Northern Lowlands livelihood zones through both in-kind and cash transfers, ensuring that the recipients' caloric needs are fully met.

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View all Burundi Analysis
Food Security
Key Message Update Increased fuel prices in July likely to contribute to further food price rise Burundi July 2023
Food Security Outlook Below-average harvest drives Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes in the east Burundi June 2023 - January 2024
Key Message Update Below-average Season A harvest and high food prices affect north and east Burundi May 2023
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Flooding spreads into southeastern Africa, while parts of southern Africa remain abnormally dry Global February 17, 2023 - February 23, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Markets & Trade
Price Watch February 2023 Global Price Watch Global February 28, 2023
Cross Border Trade Report East Africa Cross Border Trade Report East Africa February 2023
Price Watch January 2023 Global Price Watch Global January 31, 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
No reports available.
Food Security
Key Message Update Increased fuel prices in July likely to contribute to further food price rise Burundi July 2023
Food Security Outlook Below-average harvest drives Stressed (IPC Phase 2) outcomes in the east Burundi June 2023 - January 2024
Key Message Update Below-average Season A harvest and high food prices affect north and east Burundi May 2023
Agroclimatology
Global Weather Hazards Flooding spreads into southeastern Africa, while parts of southern Africa remain abnormally dry Global February 17, 2023 - February 23, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Global Weather Hazards Southern Africa experiences flooding, while abnormal dryness continues in Eastern Africa Global February 10, 2023 - February 16, 2023
Markets & Trade
Price Watch February 2023 Global Price Watch Global February 28, 2023
Cross Border Trade Report East Africa Cross Border Trade Report East Africa February 2023
Price Watch January 2023 Global Price Watch Global January 31, 2023
Alerts / Special Reports
No reports available.
Food Security Classification Data View all Burundi classification data
Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification (August 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (August 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile August 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification August 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: August 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification (July 2023 - January 2024)

Forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (July 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile July 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification July 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Near Term Projection: July 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: July 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification (June 2023 - January 2024)

Current (June 2023) food security outcomes and forward-looking analysis representing the most likely food security outcomes for the near term (June 2023 - September 2023) and medium term (October 2023 - January 2024) periods.

Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification Shapefile June 2023 (.zip) (ZIP) Burundi Acute Food Insecurity Classification June 2023 (.geojson) (GeoJSON) Current Situation: June 2023 (.png) (PNG) Near Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.png) (PNG) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.png) (PNG) Current Situation: June 2023 (.kml) (KML) Near Term Projection: June 2023 - September 2023 (.kml) (KML) Medium Term Projection: October 2023 - January 2024 (.kml) (KML)
Seasonal Calendar Seasonal Calendar
Description

The Seasonal Calendar shows the annual and cyclical patterns of key food and income sources in a country throughout the typical year.

Burundi Seasonal Calendar, showing rain, lean, harvest and land prep seasons
Production & Trade Flow Maps
FEWS NET captures the market networks for a product in a given country or region, including their catchments and trade flow patterns.
Maize, Normal Year Banana, Normal Year Beans, Normal Year Cassava, Normal Year Rice, Normal Year Sweet Potatoes, Normal Year
Remote Sensing Imagery Remote Sensing Imagery
Description

USGS-provided data and imagery supports FEWS NET's monitoring efforts of weather and climate throughout the world.

View all remote sensing imagery
Livelihood Zone Resources Livelihood Zone Resources
Burundi Livelihood Zone Descriptions, February 2021 Burundi Livelihood Zone Descriptions, November 2009 Burundi Livelihood Zone Map
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