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Some households may require assistance during the winter if avalanches, flooding, or other localized natural disasters occur

  • Remote Monitoring Report
  • Tajikistan
  • December 2014
Some households may require assistance during the winter if avalanches, flooding, or other localized natural disasters occur

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • According to the Ministry of Agriculture, as of December 1st more than 1,200,000 metric tons of grain had been harvested. The near-average domestic grain harvest and typical regional wheat market conditions have facilitated normal preparations for winter and the lean season by the majority of households. Most areas are expected to remain Minimal (IPC Phase 1). As is typical during the winter, some households may require assistance if some areas have localized natural disasters including avalanches and flooding which destroy homes and food stocks.

    • Wheat flour prices increased in November, and they were seven percent higher than the same time last year. The main causes of increased wheat grain and flour prices were depreciation of the Tajikistani somoni (TJS) against the U.S. dollar (USD) and other currencies and increased transport costs, which increased the price of wheat grain imported from Kazakhstan. Wheat grain and flour prices may increase further in the coming months following the typical, seasonal price trend in Kazakhstan and increased local demand for purchasing winter stocks.

    • According to the Central Bank of Russia, the flow of remittances to Tajikistan from January to September 2014 was similar to 2013. However, the Russian rouble (RUB) depreciated 33 percent against the Tajikistani somoni (TJS) from August to December, decreasing the purchasing power of those remittances.

    Figures

    Figure 1

    Source:

    In remote monitoring, a coordinator typically works from a nearby regional office. Relying on partners for data, the coordinator uses scenario development to conduct analysis and produce monthly reports. As less data may be available, remote monitoring reports may have less detail than those from countries with FEWS NET offices. Learn more about our work here.

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