Key Message Update

Displaced households in Afghanistan will require humanitarian assistance during the winter and lean seasons

October 2014
2014-Q4-11-13-central-asia-en

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Would likely be at least one phase worse without current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET classification is IPC-compatible. IPC-compatible analysis follows key IPC protocols but does not necessarily reflect the consensus of national food security partners.
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

IPC 2.0 Acute Food Insecurity Phase

Presence countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3: Crisis
4: Emergency
5: Famine
Remote monitoring
countries:
1: Minimal
2: Stressed
3+: Crisis or higher
Would likely be at least one phase worse without
current or programmed humanitarian assistance
FEWS NET Remote Monitoring countries use a colored outline to represent the highest IPC classification in areas of concern.

Key Messages

  • In Afghanistan and Tajikistan, near-average to above-average wheat harvests in most areas and other typical income sources are helping a majority of households stock normally for the winter and lean season. Regional wheat market supplies are generally stable. Wheat grain production in Kazakhstan is estimated to be slightly below-average, whereas in Pakistan, wheat harvest estimates are slightly above-average. However, depreciation of local currencies in Afghanistan and Tajikistan will put upward pressure on import prices.

  • Below-average precipitation in Badghis Province in Afghanistan during March and April 2014 and cold weather during crop vegetative stage led to a below-average harvest. Poor households will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2) from November 2014 through March 2015.

  • In Afghanistan, nearly 33,000 displaced Pakistani families, primarily in Khost and Paktika Provinces, are in need of food and non-food assistance this winter. These households will move from Stressed (IPC Phase 2!) to Crisis (IPC Phase 3) if additional food assistance is not delivered beyond November 2014.

About FEWS NET

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network is a leading provider of early warning and analysis on food insecurity. Created by USAID in 1985 to help decision-makers plan for humanitarian crises, FEWS NET provides evidence-based analysis on approximately 30 countries. Implementing team members include NASA, NOAA, USDA, USGS, and CHC-UCSB, along with Chemonics International Inc. and Kimetrica.
Learn more About Us.

Link to United States Agency for International Development (USAID)Link to the United States Geological Survey's (USGS) FEWS NET Data PortalLink to U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA)
Link to National Aeronautics and Space Administration's (NASA) Earth ObservatoryLink to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA) National Weather Service, Climage Prediction CenterLink to the Climate Hazards Center - UC Santa BarbaraLink to KimetricaLink to Chemonics