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Conflict-affected households and returnees are in need of assistance

  • Key Message Update
  • Afghanistan
  • July 2016
Conflict-affected households and returnees are in need of assistance

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  • Key Messages
  • Key Messages
    • Insecurity and conflict, which have intensified in recent years and have remained widespread in 2016, continue to threaten lives and livelihoods of civilians and cause new displacement. Many displaced households have lost normal sources of food and income and are in need of humanitarian assistance. Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes are likely for recently displaced households through at least January 2017.

    • In the central highlands and particularly in Bamyan Province, area planted with potato during the 2015/2016 season is reported to have decreased compared to the previous year, and reduced harvests are expected. However, with the below-normal harvests and remittances, most households are likely to be able to stock sufficient food for winter and spring.

    • The elevated probability for the development of La Niña conditions during the coming months increases the risk for below-average precipitation in Afghanistan during the upcoming October to May wet season. Although the most likely seasonal outcome is below-average precipitation, there remains a significant spread of possibilities for seasonal accumulation due to weather variability in Afghanistan.

    • Relatively stable wheat prices and increased income from livestock sales, along with harvests of wheat, potatoes, fruits, and other crops, are expected to help reduce the number of people facing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) prior to the onset of winter. However, continued displacement due to conflict and related restrictions on livelihood activities will drive Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes among displaced and other conflict-affected households.

    This Key Message Update provides a high-level analysis of current acute food insecurity conditions and any changes to FEWS NET's latest projection of acute food insecurity outcomes in the specified geography. Learn more here.

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